2017-04-11 P&E Agenda Attachment 1 to Item 1 Housing Needs Assessment

Table 55. Assumed change in dwelling preferences towards other dwelling types (a),
Noosa Shire, 2011-2036

Household Type                       Separate         Semi-Detached               Attached Dwellings
                                      House

                                      Small        Small           Large          Small           Large

Small Households

Couple family with children            50%          25%            25%
with 3 people usually resident

Couple family with no                               25%            25%             50%
children

Lone parent family with 2              50%          25%                            25%
people usually resident

Lone person households                              50%                            50%

Group household with 2                 20%          20%            20%             20%            20%
people usually resident

Large Households

Lone parent family with 3+             75%                         25%
people usually resident

Note: The proportions shown in the table are the assumed change in dwelling preferences towards other
dwelling types for each household type. Therefore each row adds to 100%. As an example, for couples with no
children moving away from separate houses it is assumed that 50% would move to small attached dwellings,
25% would move to small semi-detached dwellings and 25% would move to large semi-detached dwellings.


The change in dwelling mix would occur over time, not all at once, and as the market responds.
It is assumed that the change (if made possible by the scheme and picked up by the
development industry) would occur over the planning horizon of the housing needs assessment,
that is, to 2036. The change in dwelling preferences is assumed to occur according to the table
below (Table 56). A small amount of change in dwelling preferences is assumed to occur by
2016 given that the ‘jump off’ year for the projections was 2011.

Table 56. Assumed change in dwelling preferences over time, Noosa Shire, 2016-2036

Household Type                         2016           2021           2026           2031          2036

Rate of Change                          10%           30%             50%           75%           100%



Table 57 below summarises the resulting dwelling mix for all years from 2011 to 2036 given
these assumptions. As above, ‘small’ dwellings are one to two bedrooms, and ‘large’ dwellings
are three or more (‘3+’) bedrooms.

The tables in Appendix B show the resulting dwelling mix in 2036 given these assumptions as a
percentage (Table 1 to Table 3), and as dwelling numbers (Table 4 to Table 6).




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