2017-04-11 P&E Agenda Attachment 1 to Item 1 Housing Needs Assessment

4. Assessment of Housing Needs .............................................................................................. 69
   4.1 Housing Needs for Specific Groups ......................................................................................................... 69
           4.1.1      Aged Persons’ Accommodation .................................................................................................................... 69
           4.1.2      People with a Disability .................................................................................................................................... 82
           4.1.3      Low Income Groups/Young People ............................................................................................................. 92
           4.1.4      Key Workers .......................................................................................................................................................... 99
           4.1.5      People Escaping Domestic Violence ............................................................................................................ 99
           4.1.6      People at Risk of Homelessness ................................................................................................................. 100
           4.1.7      People with Mental Health Issues .............................................................................................................. 101
           4.1.8      Tourists/Visitors ................................................................................................................................................ 102
   4.2 Benchmarking Housing Suitability and Affordability ...................................................................... 109
           4.2.1      Housing Choice ................................................................................................................................................ 111
           4.2.2      Housing Stress .................................................................................................................................................. 113
           4.2.3      Housing Affordability ..................................................................................................................................... 113
           4.2.4      Implications for Housing Provision ........................................................................................................... 115
5. Consultation ........................................................................................................................... 117
   5.1 Consultation Undertaken ........................................................................................................................... 117
   5.2 Summary of Findings of the Consultation .......................................................................................... 117
           5.2.1      Housing for Specific Needs Groups .......................................................................................................... 117
           5.2.2      Visitor Accommodation ................................................................................................................................. 119
           5.2.3      Student Accommodation .............................................................................................................................. 121
           5.2.4      Real Estate Market ........................................................................................................................................... 122
           5.2.5      Property Development Market ................................................................................................................... 124
           5.2.6      Aged or Disability Accommodation .......................................................................................................... 126
6. Population and Demographic Trends and Forecasts ........................................................ 127
   6.1 Analysis of Development Trends ............................................................................................................ 127
           6.1.1      Development Activity – Dwellings ............................................................................................................. 127
           6.1.2      Development Activity – Lots ........................................................................................................................ 132
   6.2 Analysis of Trends in Community Profile ............................................................................................. 134
   6.3 Population, Household and Dwelling Projections............................................................................ 140
           6.3.1      Population Projections ................................................................................................................................... 140
           6.3.2      Household Projections ................................................................................................................................... 141
           6.3.3      Dwelling Projections ....................................................................................................................................... 141
           6.3.4      Unitywater Demand Modeller and Tracking Tool (DMaTT) Dwelling Projections ................... 142
           6.3.5      Tourism Trends and Visitor Projections ................................................................................................... 147
   6.4 Estimating Future Housing Needs .......................................................................................................... 150
           6.4.1      Methodology ..................................................................................................................................................... 150
           6.4.2      Future Dwelling Diversity Needs for Residents..................................................................................... 151
           6.4.3      Future Dwelling Needs for Tourists/Visitors .......................................................................................... 162
   6.5 Opportunities for Meeting Future Housing Needs ......................................................................... 168
           6.5.1      Meeting Resident Needs ............................................................................................................................... 168
           6.5.2      Meeting Tourist/Visitor Needs .................................................................................................................... 174
           6.5.3      New Housing Models/Initiatives for Consideration ............................................................................ 177
7. Recommended Actions for Council to Consider................................................................ 179
   7.1 Key Recommended Actions ...................................................................................................................... 179



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