2017-04-11 P&E Agenda Attachment 1 to Item 1 Housing Needs Assessment

Table 51. Forecast annual growth rates for total visitor nights, Brisbane and Gold Coast, and Rest
   of State, 2016-2025 .............................................................................................................................................. 149
Table 52. Projection strategy for each component of dwelling stock ..................................................... 150
Table 53. Assumed percentage point change (a) in dwelling preference away from large separate
   houses, Noosa Shire, 2011-2036..................................................................................................................... 153
Table 54. Resulting proportion of households choosing large separate houses by household type,
   Noosa Shire, 2036 ................................................................................................................................................. 153
Table 55. Assumed change in dwelling preferences towards other dwelling types (a), Noosa Shire,
   2011-2036 ................................................................................................................................................................ 154
Table 56. Assumed change in dwelling preferences over time, Noosa Shire, 2016-2036 ............... 154
Table 57. Projected dwelling mix to meet assumed resident household needs, No, low and high
   change scenarios, Noosa Shire, 2011-2036 ................................................................................................ 155
Table 58. Projected additional dwelling need to meet assumed resident household needs, No,
   low and high change scenario, Noosa Shire, 2016-2036 ...................................................................... 160
Table 59. Assumed need for tourist accommodation (rooms in resorts, motels, hotels, etc.),
   Noosa Shire, 2016-2036 ..................................................................................................................................... 164
Table 60. Assumed need for tourist accommodation (rooms in resorts, motels, hotels, etc.) (with
   increased occupancy to 80%), Noosa Shire, 2016-2036........................................................................ 164
Table 61. Assumptions about movement out of resorts ............................................................................... 165
Table 62. Additional capacity in existing resorts, additional need in residential market, Noosa
   Shire, 2011-2036.................................................................................................................................................... 165
Table 63. Assumed need for visitor dwellings, Noosa Shire, 2016-2036 ................................................ 166
Table 64. Assumed need for visitor dwellings (with increased occupancy from 50% to 70%),
   Noosa Shire, 2016-2036 ..................................................................................................................................... 167
Table 65. Assumed overall need for tourist accommodation and visitor dwellings, Noosa Shire,
   2016-2036 ................................................................................................................................................................ 168
Table 66. Assumed additional secondary dwellings, High take-up scenario, Noosa Shire, 2016-
   2036 ............................................................................................................................................................................ 169
Table 67. Assumed additional secondary dwellings, Low take-up scenario, Noosa Shire, 2016-
   2036 ............................................................................................................................................................................ 170
Table 68. Additional new dwelling stock required to meet assumed resident household needs,
   Noosa Shire, 2016-2036 ..................................................................................................................................... 171
Table 69. Comparison of modelled need to meet resident household growth and capacity for
   resident dwellings, Noosa Shire, 2016-2036 .............................................................................................. 174
Table 70. Total estimated tourist accommodation and visitor dwelling needs (including new
   supply due to secondary dwellings and growth in renting out spare capacity), Noosa Shire,
   2016-2036 ................................................................................................................................................................ 176


List of Figures
Figure 1. Map of localities (and other statistical boundaries), Noosa Shire ............................................ 14
Figure 2. Resident population by locality, 2011 and 2015 ............................................................................. 16
Figure 3. Median age by locality, 2011................................................................................................................... 16
Figure 4. Age structure by locality, 2011 ............................................................................................................... 17
Figure 5. Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people by locality, 2011 .................................................. 17
Figure 6. Household types by locality, 2011 ........................................................................................................ 18



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