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2017-04-11 P&E Agenda Attachment 1 to Item 1 Housing Needs Assessment

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Table 23. Benchmarking of Aged Care Services against Australian Government Targets, Sunshine Coast Aged Care Planning Region, 2015-16 -
2036

Year         Population 70+         Estimate of Operational Places               Federal Target                          Shortfall or Surplus
             years
                                    Residential       Home Care          Residential        Home Care          Residential        Home          Total
                                    Aged Care           Places           Aged Care            Places           Aged Care           Care
                                      Places                               Places                                Places           Places

2016         50,946 (a)                3,878             1,586              4,076              1,732              -198             -146         -344

2021         62,191 (a)                5,726             1,806              4,975              2,799               751             -993         -242

2026         73,765 (a)                5,726             1,806              5,901              3,319              -175             -1,513       -1,689

2031         89,937 (b)                5,726             1,806              7,195              4,047             -1,469            -2,241       -3,710

2036         106,316 (b)               5,726             1,806              8,505              4,784             -2,779            -2,978       -5,758

Notes: (a) Population projections used for aged care benchmarking are different to Queensland Treasury projections. Australian Government projections were used as these are
used to allocate places. However, these projections were only available for 2016-2027. (b) For 2031 and 2036, growth in the 70+ age group from Queensland Treasury
projections were used to build on Australian Government projections.
Source: Australian Government 2016b; 2016c; 2016d; 2013; Queensland Government 2016g; Analysis undertaken by Briggs & Mortar Pty Ltd.




Briggs & Mortar Pty Ltd | Page 75
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