2017-04-11 P&E Agenda Attachment 1 to Item 1 Housing Needs Assessment

Table 25: Benchmarking of Aged Care Services against Australian Government Targets,
Noosa Shire, 2015-16 - 2036

      Year        Population 70+         Current           Federal Target        Shortfall or
                      years          Allocated Places                              Surplus

      2016            8,424 (a)             587                  674                  -87

      2021           10,014 (a)           677 (c)                801                 -124

      2026           11,720 (a)           677 (c)                938                 -261

      2031           13,269 (b)           677 (c)               1,062                -385

      2036           14,671 (b)           677 (c)               1,174                -497

Notes: (a) Population projections used for aged care benchmarking are different to Queensland Treasury
projections. Australian Government projections were used as these are used to allocate places. However, these
projections were only available for 2016-2027. (b) For 2031 and 2036, growth in the 70+ age group from
Queensland Treasury projections were used to build on Australian Government Projections. (c) Includes places
allocated to Arcare Noosaville which are not yet delivered.
Source: Australian Government 2016b; 2016c; 2016d; 2013; Queensland Government 2016g; Analysis
undertaken by Briggs & Mortar Pty Ltd.

While there appears to be a surplus of residential aged care places for the Sunshine Coast aged
care region at 2021 (if all allocated places are delivered), there appears to be a shortfall of
allocated places in Noosa Shire currently, and by 2026, and therefore additional places in the local
area would be beneficial to the local population so they do not need to move away to other parts
of the Sunshine Coast aged care region (e.g. Gympie) to access residential services. In addition,
the number of home care places at the Sunshine Coast aged care planning region level is below
the targets established by the Australian Government, and this may force some local residents to
move into residential aged care before they would otherwise need to7.

A number of additional aged care facilities are proposed or approved in the Noosa Shire,
however aged care places have not been allocated to these facilities by the government as far as
can be determined:

         Palm Lake Care has a current development approval for a 120 bed aged care facility with
          its Retirement Resort at Cooroy, however no aged care places have been allocated.
         Sundale Tewantin has a current development approval for a 60 bed aged care facility
          within its proposed Retirement Village at Tewantin, however places have not been
          allocated to this facility.
         Blue Care has development approval for a 118 bed aged care facility at Grasstree Court,
          Sunrise Beach, but again no places have been allocated.

These facilities could redress the overall need for aged care for Noosa Shire if delivered by 2026
(Table 26). However, even if all of these facilities are provided, a shortfall of 87 places would
again emerge by 2031, and grow to a shortfall of 199 places by 2036.



    Home care is provided to people across the community, and therefore home care places are allocated at
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the aged care planning region level. Addresses provided in the data relate to the location of the service
provider, not where services are delivered. Therefore home care is not able to be benchmarked at a smaller
geographic scale.




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