2020-02-11 P&E Agenda - Item 5 - Attachment 2 - Draft Noosa Biosecurity Plan 2020

4.3      Climate change
Climate change is predicted to make significant changes to ecosystems, vegetation and habitat over
time. Although it is likely there will be some ‘winners and losers’ as a consequence of climate change,
the response of pest species is still a developing science. AdaptNRM provides tools and resources
to help manage weeds under a changing climate https://adaptnrm.csiro.au/
CLIMEX modelling is used to assess the suitability of regions for certain weed species under a future
climate. This predictive tool allows land owners to adapt their management priorities in response to
climate change.




Map 2. CLIMEX modelling of Mimosa pigra, an invasive species. The map at the top is the current situation.
The lower figure is a 2070 projection showing a decline in risk in northern Australia and an increased risk in
southern Qld.
Source: Waldon.,D., et al., in AdaptNRM, Supporting Weed Management Adaptation.


Invasive species will respond in different ways under climate change pressure. A landowner’s
adaptive response will depend on the nature of the climate change impact and the species
concerned.


Noosa Biosecurity Plan 2020                                                                          Page 14