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Section 4.3
Results
4.3.1 Natural Hazard Risks
Table 3 below provides a summary of the scenario
components assessed and likelihood results of the
QERMF risk assessment process in relation to the six
event scenarios selected by QFES for assessment.
Table 3: QERMF Scenario components and likelihood
Event / Primary hazards QFES designated Determined QERMF
scenario probability (AEP) probability (AEP) Likelihood
Severe Tropical • Widespread Severe < 0.5% 1-10% Unlikely
Cyclone (Destructive) Wind
(Cat 3-5) • Flooding
• Storm tide
• Coastal Erosion
Tropical Low / • Widespread Severe 5% 1-10% Possible
Cyclone (Damaging) Wind
(Low - Cat 2) • Flooding
• Storm tide
Severe • Lightning 100% >63% Almost Certain
Full results of the QERMF risk assessment are Thunderstorm • Hail
Event • Wind gusts
included in the report: Multi-hazard Risk Assessment • Localised Severe
of Noosa Regional Council using Queensland •
Wind (Tornado)
Flash flooding
Emergency Risk Management Framework (QERMF). Earthquake • Earthquake 0.06% 0.1-1% Rare
A summary of the high-level risk assessment • Tsunami
• Landslide
information to inform PPRR can be found in the
Bushfire / • Bushfire (rural and 100% 10-63% Likely
Natural Hazard Risks and Non-Natural Hazard Risks Heatwave urban interface)
sections below. • Extreme heatwave
Noosa Council | 2023 Local Disaster Management Plan 48
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