Planning Economic Report MCU13/0087 (attachment to Email 4 of 5)

                                                                           Section 3: Trade area spending




     3.1 Retail Liquor Spending

     Table 3.3 then details our estimates of sales potential for retail liquor by each key
     liquor category, namely beer, wine and spirits, within the trade area.



                                                            Table 3.3
                        Noosa Heads Bow ls Club trade area - packaged liquor spend, 2013-2021*

       Year ending                                          Forecast liquor spend ($M)
       June                                         Beer       Wine           Spirits      Total

       2012                                           8.0       11.9              6.7        26.5
       2013                                           8.1       12.1              6.7        26.9
       2014                                           8.2       12.2              6.8        27.2
       2015                                           8.3       12.4              6.9        27.6
       2016                                           8.4       12.5              7.0        27.9
       2017                                           8.5       12.7              7.1        28.2
       2018                                           8.5       12.8              7.1        28.5
       2019                                           8.6       12.9              7.2        28.7
       2020                                           8.7       13.0              7.3        29.0
       2021                                           8.8       13.2              7.3        29.3

       Average annual grow th ($M)
       2012-2021                                      0.1        0.1              0.1         0.3

       Average annual grow th (%)
       2012-2021                                    1.1%        1.1%           1.1%         1.1%

       *co nstant do llars & including GST
       So urce: M arketInfo ; M acro P lan Dimasi




     Forecasted growth in liquor spending appears to be constant leading up to 2021
     with an average annual increase of 1.1%. Total liquor spending is expected to
     increase from $26.5 million currently, to $29.3 million by 2021.


     Wine sales represent the highest majority of liquor spending, accounting for
     around 45% of the total liquor spend. This is consistent with the generally more
     affluent areas where wine sales are much stronger than other categories such as
     beer.




                                                                        Noosa Heads Bowls Club, QLD
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