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Attached to the e-mail MCU14/0106 - Submission PM Support - Bob Borger.
Economic Impact Assessment (EIA) Urban Economics has critically reviewed the Economic impact Assessment and subsequent Information Response (Economic: Item 3) material accompanying the Noosa Civic Stage 3 application. With a couple of > exceptions, the analysis is considered robust. In particular: The EIA has correctly identified the relevant competitive network of retail centres situated within the region that satisfies the needs of the local Noosa and Maroochy north populations. Furthermore, this analysis also provided a thorough review of each centres functional role within the centres hierarchy prescribed through the relevant planning schemes and other regional planning documents (i.e. The Noosa Pian, Maroochy Plan 2000 and the South East Queensland Regional Plan). The defined main trade area for the proposed Noosa Civic Stage 3 development is considered to be reasonable and appropriate for this assessment. However, it is my opinion that the inclusions of the tertiary trade areas slightly overstate the drawing capacity for the proposed development. it is considered that the EIA Report has appropriately adopted reasonably modest population growth rates for the defined Main Trade Area, generally consistent with our projections that were adopted as part of the Strategic Review Report. As stated within our Strategic Review Report, Urban Economics has critically reviewed the economic impact analysis undertaken by the EIA, in which we consider that the impacts upon Noosa Junction, Noosaville and Tewantin would be in the order of 13% rather than the 10-11% calculated by the EIA due to EIA measuring the impact in 2013 rather than 2012 (when it is proposed to open) and the assumed turnover growth of existing centres from 2007 to 2012 has been slightly overstated. | am in agreement with a number of community need and demand benefits argued in support of the proposed development including growth in retail market demand, capacity at the Shire Business Centre to accommodate new retailers, increased level of retail choice of goods and services, price point competition, travel time and costs savings, employment opportunities, etc. We have reviewed the subsequent information in relation to the escape expenditure and note that the Information Response provides a thorough account of retail escape expenditure and the re-capturing of expenditure as a result of the proposed Noosa Civic Stage 3. However, the quantum and proportional escape expenditure estimates appear to be on the conservative side in which it is considered that the current level of escape expenditure would be higher than that suggested within the response. Furthermore, the reduction amount in escape expenditure as a result of Noosa Civic Stage 3 opening is considered to be slightly larger than that suggested within the response.
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