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2016-09-06 S&O Committee - Attachment 1 to Item 3 - Noosa Local Disaster Management Plan

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2.10.4 Risk likelihood assessment
                 Risk                Jan        Feb        Mar         Apr        May           Jun          Jul         Aug          Sep           Oct        Nov        Dec

01 - East Coast Low Pressure          LIKELY     LIKELY     LIKELY     LIKELY      LIKELY       LIKELY       LIKELY       LIKELY      POSSIBLE     POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE
System
02 - Severe Thunderstorm /            LIKELY     LIKELY     LIKELY    POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY     POSSIBLE     LIKELY     LIKELY
Electrical Storm
03 - Tropical Cyclone (Cat 1/2/3     POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    UNLIKELY    IMPROBABLE   IMPROBABLE   IMPROBABLE   IMPROBABLE     RARE       UNLIKELY   POSSIBLE
Sandy Cape to Point Danger)
04 - Tropical Cyclone (Cat 4/5       POSSIBLE   UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY    RARE      IMPROBABLE   IMPROBABLE   IMPROBABLE   IMPROBABLE   IMPROBABLE   IMPROBABLE    RARE      UNLIKELY
Sandy Cape to Point Danger)

05 - Storm Tide (> HAT 0.5m)          LIKELY     LIKELY     LIKELY    POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE     POSSIBLE     POSSIBLE     POSSIBLE     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY    POSSIBLE    LIKELY



06 - Flood (Q20 impacting on          LIKELY     LIKELY     LIKELY    POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY     POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE    LIKELY
Sunshine Coast Region)

07 - Dam Failure                     UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY    RARE        RARE         RARE         RARE         RARE         RARE         RARE        RARE      UNLIKELY



08 - Tornado (Grade F1 - Winds       POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   UNLIKELY    UNLIKELY      RARE         RARE         RARE         RARE        UNLIKELY    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE
117-180 kmh)

09 - Major Earthquake                 RARE       RARE       RARE       RARE        RARE         RARE         RARE         RARE         RARE         RARE        RARE       RARE



10 - Tsunami (>10m wave and           RARE       RARE       RARE       RARE        RARE         RARE         RARE         RARE         RARE         RARE        RARE       RARE
Land Inundation >1km inland)

11 - Landslide                       POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE     POSSIBLE     POSSIBLE     POSSIBLE     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE



12 - Prolonged Drought               UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY    UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY    UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY



13 - Bushfire (Rural and Interface   UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY    UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY     POSSIBLE      LIKELY       LIKELY      LIKELY    POSSIBLE
Areas)


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