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2017-10-10 S&O Agenda - Attachment 1 to Item 7 - Noosa Local Disaster Management Plan 2018

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7.1.3   Risk likelihood assessment

                  Risk                Jan        Feb        Mar         Apr        May           Jun          Jul         Aug          Sep           Oct        Nov        Dec

 01 - East Coast Low Pressure          LIKELY     LIKELY     LIKELY     LIKELY      LIKELY       LIKELY       LIKELY       LIKELY      POSSIBLE     POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE
 System
 02 - Severe Thunderstorm /            LIKELY     LIKELY     LIKELY    POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY     POSSIBLE     LIKELY     LIKELY
 Electrical Storm
 03 - Tropical Cyclone (Cat 1/2/3     POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    UNLIKELY    IMPROBABLE   IMPROBABLE   IMPROBABLE   IMPROBABLE     RARE       UNLIKELY   POSSIBLE
 Sandy Cape to Point Danger)
 04 - Tropical Cyclone (Cat 4/5       POSSIBLE   UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY    RARE      IMPROBABLE   IMPROBABLE   IMPROBABLE   IMPROBABLE   IMPROBABLE   IMPROBABLE    RARE      UNLIKELY
 Sandy Cape to Point Danger)

 05 - Storm Tide (> HAT 0.5m)          LIKELY     LIKELY     LIKELY    POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE     POSSIBLE     POSSIBLE     POSSIBLE     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY    POSSIBLE    LIKELY



 06 - Flood (Q20 impacting on          LIKELY     LIKELY     LIKELY    POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY     POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE    LIKELY
 Sunshine Coast Region)

 07 - Dam Failure                     UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY    RARE        RARE         RARE         RARE         RARE         RARE         RARE        RARE      UNLIKELY



 08 - Tornado (Grade F1 - Winds       POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   UNLIKELY    UNLIKELY      RARE         RARE         RARE         RARE        UNLIKELY    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE
 117-180 kmh)

 09 - Major Earthquake                 RARE       RARE       RARE       RARE        RARE         RARE         RARE         RARE         RARE         RARE        RARE       RARE



 10 - Tsunami (>10m wave and           RARE       RARE       RARE       RARE        RARE         RARE         RARE         RARE         RARE         RARE        RARE       RARE
 Land Inundation >1km inland)

 11 - Landslide                       POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE     POSSIBLE     POSSIBLE     POSSIBLE     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE



 12 - Prolonged Drought               UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY    UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY    UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY



 13 - Bushfire (Rural and Interface   UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY    UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY     UNLIKELY     POSSIBLE      LIKELY       LIKELY      LIKELY    POSSIBLE
 Areas)
 14 - Major Fire (Urban/Industrial    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE     POSSIBLE     POSSIBLE     POSSIBLE     POSSIBLE     POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE
 Areas)


Noosa Local Disaster Management Plan 2018                                                                   Page 39
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