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2019-11-18 GC Agenda - Item 7 - Attachment 1 - Draft Noosa Biosecurity Plan 2020

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4.33.3 Climate change
Climate change is predicted to make significant changes to ecosystems, vegetation and habitat
over time. Although it is likely there will be some ‘winners and losers’ as a consequence of climate
change, the response of pest species is still a developing science. AdaptNRM provides tools and
resources to help manage weeds under a changing climate https://adaptnrm.csiro.au/


CLIMEX modelling is used to assess the suitability of regions for certain weed species under a
future climate. This predictive tool allows land owners to adapt their management priorities in
response to climate change.




Figure 3. CLIMEX modelling of Mimosa pigra, an invasive species. The map at the top is the current
situation. The lower figure is a 2070 projection showing a decline in risk in northern Australia and an
increased risk in southern Qld.


Source: Waldon.,D., et al., in AdaptNRM, Supporting Weed Management Adaptation.

Noosa Biosecurity Plan 2020                                                                               Page 21
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