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Cooroy Service Station EIA 21_06_16

Attached to the e-mail MCU16/0066 & OPW16/0133 - Economic Impact Assessment.

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4.2       POPULATION GROWTH

TABLE 4.2 summarises the historic and projected population growth for the defined Trade Area.
Population estimates are based on the results of the 2006 and 2011 ABS Population and
Household Censuses, subsequent building approval data and population projections provided by
the Queensland Government Statisticians Office (QGSO). Projections have been derived on the
basis of a review of recent dwelling activity and an assessment of vacant residential land capacity
within the Trade Area and proposed residential dwelling activity in the area.

TABLE 4.2: Population and Household Growth
                    2011                 2015             2016                   2021                   2026
                               P.A.               P.A.                P.A.                     P.A.
                    (ACT)                (EST)           (PROJ)                 (PROJ)                 (PROJ)
 Population         6,304      0.73%     6,491   1.53%    6,590      1.70%       7,180     1.41%        7,700
 Dwellings          2,289        30      2,410     40    2,450         50       2,710          50       2,960
 PPH                2.75                 2.69            2.69                    2.65                   2.60
Source: ABS, QGSO, Urban Economics’s estimates

Population growth within the Trade Area is anticipated to remain modest between 2016 and
2026 and approach 7,700 persons by 2026. A growth of more than 500 households is projected
between 2016 and 2026 within the Trade Area.

TABLE 4.3 outlines building approvals within the Noosa Hinterland and Noosa Shire since the
2011 Census.

                 TABLE 4.3: Building Approvals
                                       2011/12   2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16*
                Noosa Hinterland         97        52      99      109     106
                Noosa (S)                 -         -       -      321     374
                 Source: ABS                                      *Fiscal year to April 2016

Household growth within the Trade Area is likely to be defined by new dwellings in developments
such as:

         Greenwood Grove,
         Cordwood Estate,
         Erindale Estate; and
         Palm Lakes Resort




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