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RFI - ATTACHMENT A - SBSMP - Rev 2

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                                                   INNOVYZE ENSEMBLE STATISTICS UTILITY
                                                             (c) Innovyze 2020

Summary information:

           Total No. of Ensembles:             112
           No. of Storms per ensemble:          10
           No. of AEP Bands:                      7
           Object Name:                  Pre Dev A to LPD
           Result type:                  Max Flow


Results:


                                              AEP: 1% - Max Flow (m^3/s)
*============================================================================================================================================================
|    Ensemble name Storm 1 Storm 2 Storm 3 Storm 4 Storm 5 Storm 6 Storm 7 Storm 8 Storm 9 Storm 10 Average Std. Dev. Median                    |
*============================================================================================================================================================
|    ECN_1pct_10min 0.1165 0.1127 0.1174 0.0999 0.1196 0.0983 0.1157 0.1018 0.1253 0.1116 0.1119 0.0086 0.1142                             |
|    ECN_1pct_12hr 0.0460 0.0489 0.0398 0.0594 0.1915 0.0498 0.0599 0.2116 0.0906 0.0682 0.0866 0.0592 0.0596                             |
|    ECN_1pct_15min 0.1378 0.1425 0.1174 0.1228 0.1560 0.1523 0.1334 0.1671 0.1564 0.1301 0.1416 0.0153 0.1401                             |
|    ECN_1pct_18hr 0.0470 0.0264 0.0415 0.0346 0.0572 0.0555 0.0315 0.0332 0.0470 0.0395 0.0413 0.0097 0.0405                             |
|    ECN_1pct_1_5hr 0.0985 0.1161 0.1203 0.0987 0.1219 0.1194 0.1146 0.1208 0.1082 0.1201 0.1139 0.0085 0.1178                             |
|     ECN_1pct_1hr 0.1820 0.1477 0.1091 0.1252 0.0923 0.1439 0.1004 0.1129 0.1240 0.1051 0.1243 0.0257 0.1185                            |
|    ECN_1pct_20min 0.1430 0.1944 0.1201 0.1147 0.1273 0.1410 0.1216 0.1373 0.1355 0.1586 0.1394 0.0221 0.1364                             |
|    ECN_1pct_24hr 0.0460 0.0330 0.0375 0.0533 0.0329 0.0337 0.0326 0.0370 0.0321 0.0515 0.0390 0.0078 0.0354                             |
|    ECN_1pct_25min 0.1305 0.1843 0.1341 0.1456 0.1452 0.1334 0.1277 0.1534 0.1303 0.1675 0.1452 0.0176 0.1397                             |
|     ECN_1pct_2hr 0.1313 0.0973 0.0975 0.1170 0.1152 0.1069 0.0821 0.0872 0.0999 0.1261 0.1060 0.0154 0.1034                            |
|    ECN_1pct_30min 0.1481 0.1337 0.1895 0.1195 0.1232 0.1264 0.1355 0.1399 0.1505 0.1347 0.1401 0.0190 0.1351                             |
|     ECN_1pct_3hr 0.1018 0.0997 0.1174 0.0839 0.0654 0.0985 0.0598 0.1198 0.0588 0.1289 0.0934 0.0242 0.0991                            |
|    ECN_1pct_45min 0.1926 0.1721 0.1197 0.1573 0.1380 0.1080 0.1202 0.1470 0.0970 0.1350 0.1387 0.0280 0.1365                             |
|    ECN_1pct_4_5hr 0.0934 0.0645 0.0757 0.0772 0.0987 0.0879 0.0733 0.0676 0.0920 0.0954 0.0826 0.0117 0.0825                             |
|     ECN_1pct_6hr 0.1724 0.0784 0.0698 0.0769 0.0569 0.0812 0.0984 0.1211 0.0871 0.0629 0.0905 0.0323 0.0798                            |
|     ECN_1pct_9hr 0.0647 0.0747 0.0310 0.0362 0.1182 0.0960 0.1278 0.0451 0.0665 0.0486 0.0709 0.0318 0.0656                            |
*============================================================================================================================================================
| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 1% AEP is the ensemble ECN_1pct_15min.                                       |
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 2 (storm name : ECN_1pct_15min_2).                                            |
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 8 (storm name : ECN_1pct_15min_8).                              |
*============================================================================================================================================================


                                              AEP: 10% - Max Flow (m^3/s)
*============================================================================================================================================================
|    Ensemble name Storm 1 Storm 2 Storm 3 Storm 4 Storm 5 Storm 6 Storm 7 Storm 8 Storm 9 Storm 10 Average Std. Dev. Median                    |
*============================================================================================================================================================
| ECN_10pct_10min 0.0329 0.0339 0.0304 0.0346 0.0387 0.0355 0.0427 0.0380 0.0341 0.0465 0.0367 0.0046 0.0350                               |
|    ECN_10pct_12hr 0.0357 0.0712 0.0320 0.0262 0.0346 0.0385 0.0336 0.0424 0.0415 0.0339 0.0390 0.0116 0.0352                            |
| ECN_10pct_15min 0.0564 0.0632 0.0657 0.0711 0.0615 0.0636 0.0635 0.0634 0.0741 0.0685 0.0651 0.0048 0.0635                               |
|    ECN_10pct_18hr 0.0202 0.0258 0.0389 0.0213 0.0347 0.0224 0.0173 0.0166 0.0212 0.0407 0.0259 0.0085 0.0218                            |
| ECN_10pct_1_5hr 0.1019 0.0637 0.0937 0.0524 0.0700 0.0812 0.0696 0.0523 0.0587 0.0799 0.0723 0.0159 0.0698                               |
|    ECN_10pct_1hr 0.1085 0.0672 0.0650 0.0611 0.0613 0.0801 0.0776 0.0822 0.0610 0.1174 0.0781 0.0191 0.0724                            |
| ECN_10pct_20min 0.0728 0.0692 0.0797 0.0947 0.0763 0.0894 0.0846 0.1062 0.0981 0.0785 0.0850 0.0113 0.0821                               |
|    ECN_10pct_24hr 0.0469 0.0386 0.0241 0.0164 0.0218 0.0219 0.0512 0.0270 0.0267 0.0219 0.0296 0.0112 0.0254                            |
| ECN_10pct_25min 0.0757 0.1223 0.0747 0.0721 0.0631 0.1056 0.0788 0.0787 0.0666 0.1104 0.0848 0.0193 0.0772                               |
|    ECN_10pct_2hr 0.0848 0.0557 0.0735 0.1060 0.0754 0.0618 0.0797 0.0580 0.0798 0.0691 0.0744 0.0140 0.0744                            |
| ECN_10pct_30min 0.0682 0.0599 0.1200 0.0802 0.0759 0.0752 0.1052 0.0807 0.0959 0.1082 0.0869 0.0184 0.0804                               |
|    ECN_10pct_3hr 0.0879 0.0517 0.0520 0.0769 0.0667 0.0430 0.0630 0.0483 0.0566 0.0564 0.0602 0.0131 0.0565                            |
| ECN_10pct_45min 0.0793 0.0725 0.0703 0.0827 0.0861 0.0817 0.0832 0.0625 0.1161 0.1090 0.0844 0.0157 0.0822                               |
| ECN_10pct_4_5hr 0.0441 0.0439 0.0920 0.0571 0.0262 0.0696 0.0343 0.0551 0.0645 0.0726 0.0560 0.0187 0.0561                               |
|    ECN_10pct_6hr 0.0715 0.0918 0.0490 0.0361 0.0448 0.0244 0.0675 0.0450 0.0596 0.0471 0.0537 0.0184 0.0481                            |
|    ECN_10pct_9hr 0.0399 0.0459 0.0376 0.0430 0.0546 0.0266 0.0440 0.0333 0.0400 0.0312 0.0396 0.0076 0.0399                            |
*============================================================================================================================================================
| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 10% AEP is the ensemble ECN_10pct_45min.                                      |
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 4 (storm name : ECN_10pct_45min_4).                                            |
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 9 (storm name : ECN_10pct_45min_9).                              |
*============================================================================================================================================================


                                     AEP: 2% - Max Flow (m^3/s)
*============================================================================================================================================================
|    Ensemble name Storm 1 Storm 2 Storm 3 Storm 4 Storm 5 Storm 6 Storm 7 Storm 8 Storm 9 Storm 10 Average Std. Dev. Median                    |
*============================================================================================================================================================
|   ECN_2pct_10min 0.0811 0.0805 0.0820 0.0890 0.0853 0.0876 0.0826 0.0906 0.0851 0.0762 0.0840 0.0041 0.0838                              |
|    ECN_2pct_12hr 0.0402 0.0427 0.0347 0.0519 0.1677 0.0435 0.0523 0.1854 0.0792 0.0596 0.0757 0.0519 0.0521                             |
|   ECN_2pct_15min 0.1131 0.1284 0.0998 0.1110 0.1273 0.1288 0.1155 0.1354 0.1329 0.1125 0.1205 0.0110 0.1214                              |
|    ECN_2pct_18hr 0.0408 0.0228 0.0361 0.0300 0.0497 0.0483 0.0273 0.0288 0.0408 0.0342 0.0359 0.0085 0.0351                             |
|   ECN_2pct_1_5hr 0.0852 0.1023 0.1047 0.0876 0.1080 0.1060 0.0989 0.0934 0.0959 0.1064 0.0988 0.0077 0.1006                              |
|    ECN_2pct_1hr 0.1611 0.1312 0.0952 0.1113 0.0822 0.1273 0.0892 0.0912 0.1103 0.0833 0.1082 0.0241 0.1027                             |
|   ECN_2pct_20min 0.1264 0.1721 0.1033 0.1021 0.1126 0.1183 0.1102 0.1231 0.1134 0.1417 0.1223 0.0199 0.1158                              |


[OCR of page images]
Summary information:

Total No. of Ensembles:
No. of Storms per ensemble:
No. of AEP Bands:
Object Name:

Result type:

Results:

1

Pre Dev

INNOVYZE ENSEMBLE STATISTICS UTILITY
(c) Innovyze 2020

12
10
7
Ato LPD

Max Flow

AEP: 1% - Max Flow (m43/s)

 

 

| Ensemble name

Storm 1

Storm 2

Storm 3

Storm4 Storm5 Storm6

Storm7 Storm8 Storm9 Storm10 Average Std.Dev. Median

 

 

ECN_1pct_10min
ECN_1pct_12hr
ECN_1pct_15min
ECN_1pct_18hr
ECN_1pct_1_Shr
ECN_1pct_1hr
ECN_1pct_20min
ECN_1pct_24hr

ECN_1pct_2hr
ECN_1pct_30min
ECN_1pct_3hr
ECN_1pct_45min
ECN_1pct_4_Shr
ECN_1pct_6hr
ECN_1pct_9hr

0.1165,
0.0460
0.1378
0.0470
0.0985,
0.1820
0.1430
0.0460
0.1305,
0.1313,
0.1481
0.1018
0.1926
0.0934
0.1724
0.0647

0.1127
0.0489
0.1425,
0.0264
0.1161
0.1477
0.1944
0.0330
0.1843
0.0973
0.1337
0.0997
0.1721
0.0645,
0.0784
0.0747

0.1174
0.0398
0.1174
0.0415,
0.1203
0.1091
0.1201
0.0375,
0.1341
0.0975
0.1895
0.1174
0.1197
0.0757
0.0698
0.0310

0.0999
0.0594
0.1228
0.0346
0.0987
0.1252
0.1147
0.0533
0.1456
0.1170
0.1195
0.0839
0.1573
0.0772
0.0769
0.0362

0.1196
0.1915
0.1560
0.0572
0.1219
0.0923
0.1273
0.0329
0.1452
0.1152
0.1232
0.0654
0.1380
0.0987
0.0569
0.1182

0.0983
0.0498
0.1523
0.0555
0.1194
0.1439
0.1410
0.0337
0.1334
0.1069
0.1264
0.0985,
0.1080
0.0879
0.0812
0.0960

0.1157
0.0599
0.1334
0.0315,
0.1146
0.1004
0.1216
0.0326
0.1277
0.0821
0.1355,
0.0598
0.1202
0.0733
0.0984
0.1278

0.1018
0.2116
0.1671
0.0332
0.1208
0.1129
0.1373
0.0370
0.1534
0.0872
0.1399
0.1198
0.1470
0.0676
0.1211
0.0451

0.1253
0.0906
0.1564
0.0470
0.1082
0.1240
0.1355
0.0321
0.1303
0.0999
0.1505
0.0588
0.0970
0.0920
0.0871
0.0665

0.1116
0.0682
0.1301
0.0395,
0.1201
0.1051
0.1586
0.0515,
0.1675
0.1261
0.1347
0.1289
0.1350
0.0954
0.0629
0.0486

0.1119
0.0866
0.1416
0.0413
0.1139
0.1243
0.1394
0.0390
0.1452
0.1060
0.1401
0.0934
0.1387
0.0826
0.0905,
0.0709

0.0086 0.1142
0.0592 0.0596
0.0153 0.1401
0.0097 0.0405
0.0085 0.1178
0.0257. 0.1185
0.0221 0.1364
0.0078 0.0354
0.0176 0.1397
0.0154 0.1034
0.0190 0.1351
0.0242 0.0991
0.0280 0.1365
0.0117 0.0825
0.0323 0.0798
0.0318 0.0656

 

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ECN_1pct_25min
|
|
|
|
|
|
I
*

 

| CRITICAL DURATION :

The critical duration for the 1% AEP is the ensemble ECN_1pct_15min.
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 2 (storm name : ECN_1pct_15min_2).
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 8 (storm name : ECN_1pct_15min_8).

 

*

 

AEP: 10% - Max Flow (m43/s)

 

 

| Ensemble name

Storm 1

Storm 2

Storm 3

Storm4 Storm5 Storm6

Storm7 Storm8 Storm9 Storm10 Average Std.Dev. Median

 

 

| ECN_10pct_10min
| ECN_10pet_12hr
| ECN_10pct_1Smin
| ECN_10pct_18hr
| ECN_10pct_1_Shr
| ECN_10pct_thr

| ECN_10pct_20min
| ECN_10pct_24hr
| ECN_10pct_25min
| ECN_10pct_2hr

| ECN_10pct_30min
| ECN_10pct_3hr

| ECN_10pct_45min
| ECN_10pct_4_Shr
| ECN_10pct_6hr

| ECN_10pct_9hr
*

0.0329
0.0357
0.0564
0.0202
0.1019
0.1085,
0.0728
0.0469
0.0757
0.0848
0.0682
0.0879
0.0793
0.0441
0.0715
0.0399

0.0339
0.0712
0.0632
0.0258
0.0637
0.0672
0.0692
0.0386
0.1223
0.0557
0.0599
0.0517
0.0725
0.0439
0.0918
0.0459

0.0304
0.0320
0.0657
0.0389
0.0937
0.0650
0.0797
0.0241
0.0747
0.0735,
0.1200
0.0520
0.0703
0.0920
0.0490
0.0376

0.0346
0.0262
0.0711
0.0213
0.0524
0.0611
0.0947
0.0164
0.0721
0.1060
0.0802
0.0769
0.0827
0.0571
0.0361
0.0430

0.0387
0.0346
0.0615
0.0347
0.0700
0.0613
0.0763
0.0218
0.0631
0.0754
0.0759
0.0667
0.0861
0.0262
0.0448
0.0546

0.0355,
0.0385,
0.0636
0.0224
0.0812
0.0801
0.0894
0.0219
0.1056
0.0618
0.0752
0.0430
0.0817
0.0696
0.0244
0.0266

0.0427
0.0336
0.0635,
0.0173
0.0696
0.0776
0.0846
0.0512
0.0788
0.0797
0.1052
0.0630
0.0832
0.0343
0.0675,
0.0440

0.0380
0.0424
0.0634
0.0166
0.0523
0.0822
0.1062
0.0270
0.0787
0.0580
0.0807
0.0483
0.0625
0.0551
0.0450
0.0333

0.0341
0.0415,
0.0741
0.0212
0.0587
0.0610

0.0981

0.0267

0.0666

0.0798

0.0959

0.0566

0.1161

0.0645
0.0596
0.0400

0.0465,
0.0339
0.0685,
0.0407
0.0799
0.1174
0.0785,
0.0219
0.1104
0.0691
0.1082
0.0564
0.1090
0.0726
0.0471
0.0312

0.0367
0.0390
0.0651
0.0259
0.0723
0.0781
0.0850
0.0296
0.0848
0.0744
0.0869
0.0602
0.0844
0.0560
0.0537
0.0396

0.0046 0.0350
0.0116 0.0352
0.0048 0.0635
0.0085 0.0218
0.0159 0.0698
0.0191 0.0724
0.0113 0.0821
0.0112 0.0254
0.0193 0.0772
0.0140 0.0744
0.0184 0.0804
0.0131 0.0565
0.0157 0.0822
0.0187 0.0561
0.0184 0.0481
0.0076 0.0399

 

 

| CRITICAL DURATION

The critical duration for the 10% AEP is the ensemble ECN_10pct_45min.
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 4 (storm name : ECN_10pct_45min_4).
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 9 (storm name : ECN_10pct_45min_9).

 

*

 

AEP: 2% - Max Flow (m43/s)

 

 

 

 

| Ensemble name Storm1 Storm2 Storm3 Storm4 Storm5 Storm6 Storm7 Storm8 Storm9 Storm10 Average Std.Dev. Median
ECN_2pct_10min 0.0811 0.0805 0.0820 0.0890 0.0853 0.0876 0.0826 0.0906 0.0851 0.0762 0.0840 0.0041 0.0838
ECN_2pct_12hr 0.0402 0.0427 0.0347 0.0519 0.1677 0.0435 0.0523 0.1854 0.0792 0.0596 0.0757 0.0519 0.0521
ECN_2pct_15min 0.1131 0.1284 0.0998 0.1110 0.1273 0.1288 0.1155 0.1354 0.1329 0.1125 0.1205 0.0110 0.1214
ECN_2pct_18hr 0.0408 0.0228 0.0361 0.0300 0.0497 0.0483 0.0273 0.0288 0.0408 0.0342 0.0359 0.0085 0.0351
ECN_2pct_1_5hr 0.0852 0.1023 0.1047 0.0876 0.1080 0.1060 0.0989 0.0934 0.0959 0.1064 0.0988 0.0077 0.1006
ECN_2pct_1hr 0.1611 0.1312 0.0952 0.1113 0.0822 0.1273 0.0892 0.0912 0.1103 0.0833 0.1082 0.0241 0.1027
ECN_2pct_2Omin 0.1264 0.1721 0.1033 0.1021 0.1126 0.1183 0.1102 0.1231 0.1134 0.1417 0.1223 0.0199 0.1158
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