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RFI - ATTACHMENT A - SBSMP - Rev 2

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                                                   INNOVYZE ENSEMBLE STATISTICS UTILITY
                                                           (c) Innovyze 2020

Summary information:

           Total No. of Ensembles:              63
           No. of Storms per ensemble:          10
           No. of AEP Bands:                     7
           Object Name:                  Post Dev A to LPD
           Result type:                  Max Flow


Results:


                                              AEP: 1% - Max Flow (m^3/s)
*=============================================================================================================================================
|     Ensemble name Storm 1 Storm 2 Storm 3 Storm 4 Storm 5 Storm 6 Storm 7 Storm 8 Storm 9 Storm 10 Average Std. Dev.                              Median          |
*=============================================================================================================================================
|    ECN_1pct_10min         0.2372   0.2153     0.2358     0.2211     0.2265    0.2182    0.2202   0.2214   0.2680   0.2455   0.2309   0.0154   0.2239            |
|    ECN_1pct_15min         0.2574   0.2246     0.2435     0.2293     0.2271    0.2145    0.2071   0.2869   0.2341   0.2113   0.2336   0.0228   0.2282            |
|    ECN_1pct_1_5hr        0.1472    0.1719     0.1609    0.1403     0.1685     0.1570   0.1521   0.1885   0.1472   0.1606   0.1594   0.0135   0.1588            |
|     ECN_1pct_1hr        0.2599   0.2066     0.1598     0.1694     0.1212    0.1903    0.1389   0.1554   0.1656   0.1714   0.1739   0.0366   0.1675           |
|    ECN_1pct_20min         0.2169   0.2822     0.2145     0.2062     0.1873    0.1908    0.1701   0.1902   0.2012   0.2076   0.2067   0.0285   0.2037            |
|    ECN_1pct_25min         0.2032   0.2824     0.2123     0.1984     0.2324    0.1779    0.1764   0.2077   0.1819   0.2247   0.2097   0.0302   0.2055            |
|     ECN_1pct_2hr        0.1823   0.1433     0.1424     0.1652     0.1513    0.1488    0.1114   0.1153   0.1363   0.1973   0.1494   0.0255   0.1461           |
|    ECN_1pct_30min         0.2144   0.2130     0.2619     0.1655     0.1777    0.2701    0.1792   0.1902   0.2109   0.1857   0.2069   0.0335   0.2006            |
|    ECN_1pct_45min         0.2743   0.2555     0.1768     0.2182     0.1926    0.1582    0.1628   0.2246   0.1274   0.1892   0.1980   0.0431   0.1909            |
*=============================================================================================================================================
| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 1% AEP is the ensemble ECN_1pct_15min.                                                                 |
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 4 (storm name : ECN_1pct_15min_4).                                                                      |
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 8 (storm name : ECN_1pct_15min_8).                                                     |
*=============================================================================================================================================


                                              AEP: 10% - Max Flow (m^3/s)
*=============================================================================================================================================
|     Ensemble name Storm 1 Storm 2 Storm 3 Storm 4 Storm 5 Storm 6 Storm 7 Storm 8 Storm 9 Storm 10 Average Std. Dev.                              Median           |
*=============================================================================================================================================
|   ECN_10pct_10min         0.1503    0.1466     0.1603    0.1737     0.1384     0.1403   0.1520   0.1359   0.1458   0.1668   0.1510   0.0118   0.1484             |
|   ECN_10pct_15min         0.1705    0.1673     0.1681    0.1350     0.1311     0.1439   0.1349   0.1269   0.1737   0.1624   0.1514   0.0177   0.1532             |
|   ECN_10pct_1_5hr         0.1442   0.0931      0.1322    0.1255    0.0927     0.1086   0.0977   0.1082   0.0842   0.1208   0.1107   0.0185   0.1084             |
|     ECN_10pct_1hr       0.1624    0.1146     0.1201    0.1754     0.1067     0.1174   0.1147   0.1159   0.0899   0.1777   0.1295   0.0291   0.1166            |
|   ECN_10pct_20min         0.1273    0.1396     0.1194    0.1474     0.1417     0.1301   0.1258   0.1748   0.1790   0.1366   0.1422   0.0191   0.1381             |
|   ECN_10pct_25min         0.1188    0.1846     0.1549    0.1314     0.1568     0.1752   0.1316   0.1138   0.1394   0.1514   0.1458   0.0219   0.1454             |
|     ECN_10pct_2hr       0.1202    0.0802     0.1041    0.1507     0.1181     0.1168   0.1395   0.0829   0.1077   0.1255   0.1146   0.0211   0.1175            |
|   ECN_10pct_30min         0.1226    0.1327     0.2201    0.1125     0.1007     0.1315   0.1643   0.1280   0.1343   0.1465   0.1393   0.0315   0.1321             |
|   ECN_10pct_45min         0.1586    0.1314     0.1282    0.1125     0.1203     0.1114   0.1217   0.0854   0.1587   0.1632   0.1291   0.0235   0.1250             |
*=============================================================================================================================================
| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 10% AEP is the ensemble ECN_10pct_15min.                                                                |
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 10 (storm name : ECN_10pct_15min_10).                                                                     |
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 9 (storm name : ECN_10pct_15min_9).                                                     |
*=============================================================================================================================================


                                              AEP: 2% - Max Flow (m^3/s)
*=============================================================================================================================================
|     Ensemble name Storm 1 Storm 2 Storm 3 Storm 4 Storm 5 Storm 6 Storm 7 Storm 8 Storm 9 Storm 10 Average Std. Dev.                              Median          |
*=============================================================================================================================================
|    ECN_2pct_10min         0.2164   0.1874     0.2150     0.2004     0.1932    0.1977    0.1879   0.2019   0.2274   0.2240   0.2051   0.0138   0.2011            |
|    ECN_2pct_15min         0.2185   0.2040     0.2222     0.2092     0.2022    0.1930    0.1889   0.2534   0.2107   0.1928   0.2095   0.0180   0.2066            |
|    ECN_2pct_1_5hr        0.1284    0.1526     0.1429    0.1226     0.1498     0.1397   0.1350   0.1601   0.1309   0.1428   0.1405   0.0110   0.1412            |
|     ECN_2pct_1hr        0.2315   0.1843     0.1388     0.1512     0.1083    0.1699    0.1238   0.1332   0.1478   0.1452   0.1534   0.0331   0.1465           |
|    ECN_2pct_20min         0.1976   0.2555     0.1954     0.1878     0.1706    0.1713    0.1544   0.1686   0.1715   0.1888   0.1862   0.0265   0.1796            |
|    ECN_2pct_25min         0.1849   0.2558     0.1840     0.1799     0.1978    0.1609    0.1602   0.1888   0.1643   0.2041   0.1881   0.0267   0.1845            |
|     ECN_2pct_2hr        0.1621   0.1260     0.1266     0.1469     0.1348    0.1325    0.0988   0.1027   0.1213   0.1745   0.1326   0.0225   0.1296           |
|    ECN_2pct_30min         0.1942   0.1923     0.2374     0.1501     0.1564    0.2281    0.1626   0.1724   0.1912   0.1681   0.1853   0.0279   0.1818            |
|    ECN_2pct_45min         0.2467   0.2287     0.1590     0.1958     0.1729    0.1388    0.1465   0.1943   0.1149   0.1680   0.1766   0.0385   0.1705            |
*=============================================================================================================================================
| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 2% AEP is the ensemble ECN_2pct_15min.                                                                 |
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 4 (storm name : ECN_2pct_15min_4).                                                                      |
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 8 (storm name : ECN_2pct_15min_8).                                                     |
*=============================================================================================================================================


                                              AEP: 20% - Max Flow (m^3/s)
*=============================================================================================================================================
|     Ensemble name Storm 1 Storm 2 Storm 3 Storm 4 Storm 5 Storm 6 Storm 7 Storm 8 Storm 9 Storm 10 Average Std. Dev.                           Median        |
*=============================================================================================================================================
|   ECN_20pct_10min         0.1307   0.1374      0.1373     0.1388   0.1189   0.1134   0.1364   0.1224   0.1461   0.1290   0.1310   0.0097   0.1336          |
|   ECN_20pct_15min         0.1369   0.1551      0.1381     0.1274   0.1060   0.1002   0.1027   0.1096   0.1285   0.1437   0.1248   0.0182   0.1279          |
|   ECN_20pct_1_5hr        0.0834    0.1236     0.1065     0.0707   0.1165   0.0780   0.0756   0.0942   0.1300   0.0993   0.0978   0.0199   0.0968          |
|     ECN_20pct_1hr       0.1352   0.0720      0.0864     0.1030   0.1276   0.1157   0.0878   0.0768   0.1209   0.0990   0.1025   0.0207   0.1010         |
|   ECN_20pct_20min         0.1361   0.1339      0.1202     0.0980   0.0972   0.1222   0.1220   0.0985   0.1212   0.1576   0.1207   0.0183   0.1216          |
|   ECN_20pct_25min         0.0971   0.0987      0.1079     0.1034   0.1327   0.1092   0.1095   0.1111   0.1479   0.1209   0.1139   0.0151   0.1094          |
|     ECN_20pct_2hr       0.0784   0.0942      0.0746     0.0770   0.1051   0.0758   0.1302   0.1690   0.0775   0.0746   0.0956   0.0299   0.0779         |
|   ECN_20pct_30min         0.1551   0.0944      0.1107     0.1109   0.0978   0.1082   0.1362   0.1258   0.1160   0.1224   0.1177   0.0172   0.1135          |
|   ECN_20pct_45min         0.1305   0.0943      0.0840     0.1045   0.1241   0.0828   0.0751   0.0926   0.1255   0.1260   0.1039   0.0199   0.0994          |
*=============================================================================================================================================
| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 20% AEP is the ensemble ECN_20pct_10min.                                                            |
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 7 (storm name : ECN_20pct_10min_7).                                                                   |


[OCR of page images]
INNOVYZE ENSEMBLE STATISTICS UTILITY
(c) Innovyze 2020

Summary information:

Total No. of Ensembles: 63
No. of Storms per ensemble: 10
No. of AEP Bands: 7
Object Name: Post Dev A to LPD
Result type: Max Flow

Results:

AEP: 1% - Max Flow (m43/s)

 

Ensemble name Storm1 Storm2 Storm3 Storm4 Storm5 Storm6 Storm7 Storm8 Storm9 Storm 10

Average Std.Dev. Median

 

|

| ECN_ipcet_10min 0.2372 0.2153 0.2358 =0.2211 0.2265 = (0.2182) 0.2202 Ss «0.2214 = (0.2680
| ECN_ipet_15min 0.2574 0.2246 = 0.2435 «0.2293 0.2271 Ss (0.2145 = (0.2071 Ss :(0.2869 (0.2341
| ECN_ipet_1_5hr 0.1472 0.1719 0.1609 0.1403 0.1685 0.1570 0.1521 0.1885 0.1472
| ECN_ipet_thr 0.2599 0.2066 0.1598 0.1694 0.1212 0.1903 0.1389 0.1554 0.1656

| ECN_ipcet_20min 0.2169 0.2822 0.2145 0.2062 0.1873 0.1908 0.1701 0.1902 0.2012
| ECN_ipcet_25min 0.2032 0.2824 0.2123 0.1984 0.2324 0.1779 0.1764 0.2077 0.1819
| ECN_ipet_2hr 0.1823 0.1433 0.1424 0.1652 0.1513 0.1488 0.1114 0.1153 0.1363

| ECN_ipct_30min 0.2144 0.2130 0.2619 0.1655 0.1777 0.2701 0.1792 0.1902 0.2109
| ECN_ipet_45min 0.2743 0.2555 0.1768 = 0.2182 «0.1926 )=:0.1582 0.1628 §= 0.2246 = (0.1274

0.2455
0.2113
0.1606
0.1714
0.2076
0.2247
0.1973
0.1857
0.1892

0.2309
0.2336
0.1594
0.1739
0.2067
0.2097
0.1494
0.2069
0.1980

0.0154
0.0228
0.0135
0.0366
0.0285
0.0302
0.0255
0.0335
0.0431

0.2239
0.2282
0.1588
0.1675
0.2037
0.2055
0.1461
0.2006
0.1909

 

| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 1% AEP is the ensemble ECN_1pct_15min.
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 4 (storm name : ECN_ipct_15min_4).
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 8 (storm name : ECN_1pct_15min_8).

 

AEP: 10% - Max Flow (m43/s)

 

| Ensemble name Storm1 Storm2 Storm3 Storm4 Storm5 Storm6 Storm7 Storm8 Storm9 Storm 10

Average Std.Dev. Median

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

| ECN_10pct_10min 0.1503 0.1466 0.1603 0.1737 0.1384 0.1403 0.1520 0.1359 0.1458 0.1668 0.1510 0.0118 0.1484
| ECN_10pct_15min 0.1705 0.1673 0.1681 0.1350 0.1311 0.1439. 0.1349 0.1269 = 0.1737. 0.1624 = 0.1514. 0.0177 (0.1532
| ECN_10pct_1_Shr 0.1442 0.0931 0.1322 0.1255 0.0927 0.1086 0.0977 0.1082 0.0842 0.1208 0.1107 0.0185 0.1084
| ECN_10pct_thr 0.1624 0.1146 0.1201 0.1754 0.1067 0.1174 0.1147 0.1159 0.0899 0.1777 0.1295 0.0291 0.1166
| ECN_10pct_20min 0.1273 0.1396 0.1194 0.1474 0.1417 0.1301 0.1258 = 0.1748 0.1790 0.1366 = 00.1422, 0.0191 0.1381
| ECN_10pct_25min 0.1188 0.1846 0.1549 0.1314 0.1568 0.1752 0.1316 0.1138 0.1394 0.1514 0.1458 0.0219 0.1454
| ECN_10pct_2hr 0.1202 0.0802 0.1041 0.1507 0.1181 0.1168 »=—-0.1395 0.0829. 0.1077 0.1255 0.1146 ~=—:0.0211 0.1175
| ECN_10pct_30min 0.1226 0.1327 0.2201 0.1125 0.1007 0.1315 0.1643 0.1280 0.1343 0.1465 0.1393 0.0315 0.1321
| ECN_10pct_45min 0.1586 0.1314 0.1282 0.1125 0.1203 0.1114 0.1217 0.0854 (0.1587 0.1632. 0.1291 0.02385_— «0.1250
| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 10% AEP is the ensemble ECN_10pct_15min.
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 10 (storm name : ECN_10pct_15min_10).
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 9 (storm name : ECN_10pct_15min_9).

AEP: 2% - Max Flow (m43/s)
| Ensemble name Storm1 Storm2 Storm3 Storm4 Storm5 Storm6 Storm7 Storm8 Storm9 Storm10 Average Std.Dev. Median
| ECN_2pct_10min 0.2164 0.1874 0.2150 0.2004 «=0.1932. 0.1977. 0.1879 0.2019 0.2274 = 0.2240) = (0.2051 (0.0138 =: 0.2011
| ECN_2pct_15min 0.2185 0.2040 0.2222 0.2092 0.2022 0.1930 0.1889 0.2534 0.2107 0.1928 0.2095 0.0180 0.2066
| ECN_2pct_1_5hr 0.1284 0.1526 0.1429 0.1226 §=0.1498 )=—-0.1397, 0.1350) :0.1601 0.1309 0.1428 = 0.1405 0.0110 :0.1412
| ECN_2pct_thr 0.2315 0.1843 0.1388 0.1512 0.1083 0.1699 0.1238 0.1332 0.1478 0.1452 0.1534 0.0331 0.1465
| ECN_2pct_20min 0.1976 0.2555 0.1954 0.1878 »=— 0.1706) 0.1713 :0.1544 0.1686 = 0.1715 0.1888 = 0.1862 0.0265 =: 0.1796
| ECN_2pct_25min 0.1849 0.2558 =0.1840Ss-(0.1799 0.1978 »=—:0.1609' 0.1602: 0.1888 = «0.1643. 0.2041 (0.1881 = 0.0267 0.1845.
| ECN_2pct_2hr 0.1621 0.1260 90.1266 9 0.1469 0.1348 = 0.1325. 0.0988_)=— 0.1027, 0.1213 0.1745 0.1326 = 0.0225 «0.1296
| ECN_2pct_30min 0.1942 0.1923. 0.2374 0.1501 0.1564 = 0.2281 «0.1626 = 0.1724 0.1912 0.1681 0.1853 0.0279 0.1818
| ECN_2pct_45min 0.2467 = 0.2287'—S 0.1590 s-:0.1958 = 0.1729 :0.1388 )=—-0.1465 0.1943. 0.1149 0.1680 0.1766 =—0.0385_—s«0.1705
| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 2% AEP is the ensemble ECN_2pct_15min.
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 4 (storm name : ECN_2pct_15min_4). |
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 8 (storm name : ECN_2pct_15min_8).

AEP: 20% - Max Flow (m43/s)
| Ensemble name Storm1 Storm2 Storm3 Storm4 Storm5 Storm6 Storm7 Storm8 Storm9 Storm10 Average Std.Dev. Median
| ECN_20pct_10min 0.1307 0.1374 = 0.1373. 0.1388 )=—-0.1189 0.1134 0.1364. 0.1224 0.1461 0.1290 0.1310 »=—:0.0097 Ss (0.1336
| ECN_20pct_15min 0.1369 0.1551 0.1381. 0.1274 = 0.1060 0.1002. 0.1027 0.1096 )=— 0.1285) «0.1437 0.1248 = 0.0182 0.1279
| ECN_20pct_1_Shr 0.0834 0.1236 0.1065 0.0707 0.1165 0.0780 0.0756 0.0942 0.1300 0.0993 0.0978 0.0199 0.0968
| ECN_20pct_ihr 0.1352 0.0720 0.0864 0.1030 0.1276 0.1157 0.0878 0.0768 0.1209 0.0990 0.1025 0.0207 0.1010
| ECN_20pct_20min 0.1361 0.1339 0.1202 0.0980 0.0972 0.1222 0.1220 0.0985 0.1212 0.1576 0.1207 0.0183 0.1216
| ECN_20pct_25min 0.0971 0.0987 0.1079 0.1034 0.1327 0.1092 0.1095 0.1111 0.1479 0.1209 0.1139 0.0151 0.1094
| ECN_20pct_2hr 0.0784 0.0942 0.0746 0.0770 0.1051 0.0758 0.1302 0.1690 0.0775 0.0746 0.0956 0.0299 0.0779
| ECN_20pct_30min 0.1551 0.0944 0.1107 0.1109 0.0978 0.1082 0.1362 0.1258 0.1160 0.1224 0.1177 0.0172 0.1135
| ECN_20pct_45min 0.1305 0.0943 0.0840 0.1045 0.1241 0.0828 0.0751 0.0926 0.1255 0.1260 0.1039 0.0199 0.0994

 

| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 20% AEP is the ensemble ECN_20pct_10min.
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 7 (storm name : ECN_20pct_10min_7).
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