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RFI - ATTACHMENT A - SBSMP - Rev 2

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                                                     INNOVYZE ENSEMBLE STATISTICS UTILITY
                                                             (c) Innovyze 2020

Summary information:

           Total No. of Ensembles:              60
           No. of Storms per ensemble:          10
           No. of AEP Bands:                     5
           Object Name:                  Link1_Low
           Result type:                  Max Flow


Results:


                                              AEP: 10% - Max Flow (m^3/s)
*=============================================================================================================================================
|     Ensemble name Storm 1 Storm 2 Storm 3 Storm 4 Storm 5 Storm 6 Storm 7 Storm 8 Storm 9 Storm 10 Average Std. Dev.                              Median          |
*=============================================================================================================================================
|   ECN_10pct_10min         0.0332    0.0333     0.0328     0.0344    0.0337     0.0336   0.0346   0.0335   0.0333   0.0344   0.0337   0.0006   0.0335            |
|   ECN_10pct_15min         0.0417    0.0427     0.0424     0.0433    0.0418     0.0418   0.0423   0.0426   0.0438   0.0430   0.0425   0.0007   0.0425            |
|   ECN_10pct_1_5hr         0.0596   0.0556      0.0628    0.0531    0.0561     0.0573   0.0567   0.0553   0.0596   0.0635   0.0580   0.0032   0.0570            |
|     ECN_10pct_1hr       0.0623    0.0557     0.0555     0.0525    0.0572     0.0602   0.0594   0.0576   0.0564   0.0645   0.0581   0.0034   0.0574           |
|   ECN_10pct_20min         0.0475    0.0474     0.0481     0.0486    0.0487     0.0490   0.0475   0.0491   0.0484   0.0467   0.0481   0.0008   0.0483            |
|   ECN_10pct_25min         0.0509    0.0524     0.0495     0.0498    0.0497     0.0527   0.0514   0.0518   0.0502   0.0524   0.0511   0.0012   0.0512            |
|     ECN_10pct_2hr       0.0621    0.0607     0.0537     0.0594    0.0621     0.0559   0.0576   0.0598   0.0572   0.0599   0.0589   0.0026   0.0596           |
|   ECN_10pct_30min         0.0527    0.0519     0.0538     0.0542    0.0534     0.0531   0.0547   0.0539   0.0549   0.0544   0.0537   0.0009   0.0538            |
|     ECN_10pct_3hr       0.0645    0.0549     0.0523     0.0591    0.0507     0.0565   0.0600   0.0573   0.0604   0.0628   0.0578   0.0042   0.0582           |
|   ECN_10pct_45min         0.0544    0.0552     0.0560     0.0584    0.0584     0.0580   0.0571   0.0567   0.0593   0.0589   0.0572   0.0016   0.0575            |
|   ECN_10pct_4_5hr         0.0500   0.0441      0.0670    0.0626    0.0427     0.0667   0.0513   0.0503   0.0574   0.0622   0.0554   0.0085   0.0543            |
|     ECN_10pct_6hr       0.0680    0.0591     0.0518     0.0464    0.0537     0.0389   0.0556   0.0572   0.0556   0.0494   0.0536   0.0074   0.0546           |
*=============================================================================================================================================
| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 10% AEP is the ensemble ECN_10pct_2hr.                                                                 |
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 8 (storm name : ECN_10pct_2hr_8).                                                                      |
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 1 (storm name : ECN_10pct_2hr_1).                                                      |
*=============================================================================================================================================


                                              AEP: 20% - Max Flow (m^3/s)
*=============================================================================================================================================
|     Ensemble name Storm 1 Storm 2 Storm 3 Storm 4 Storm 5 Storm 6 Storm 7 Storm 8 Storm 9 Storm 10 Average Std. Dev.                              Median          |
*=============================================================================================================================================
|   ECN_20pct_10min         0.0279    0.0278     0.0278     0.0292    0.0285     0.0288   0.0278   0.0287   0.0275   0.0280   0.0282   0.0005   0.0279            |
|   ECN_20pct_15min         0.0356    0.0351     0.0354     0.0351    0.0362     0.0362   0.0366   0.0373   0.0374   0.0380   0.0363   0.0010   0.0362            |
|   ECN_20pct_1_5hr         0.0477   0.0505      0.0465    0.0490    0.0551     0.0467   0.0491   0.0480   0.0570   0.0571   0.0507   0.0039   0.0491            |
|     ECN_20pct_1hr       0.0508    0.0489     0.0473     0.0520    0.0511     0.0539   0.0520   0.0493   0.0541   0.0546   0.0514   0.0023   0.0515           |
|   ECN_20pct_20min         0.0398    0.0405     0.0406     0.0410    0.0411     0.0404   0.0422   0.0412   0.0418   0.0429   0.0412   0.0009   0.0411            |
|   ECN_20pct_25min         0.0444    0.0445     0.0432     0.0443    0.0431     0.0448   0.0451   0.0451   0.0454   0.0456   0.0446   0.0008   0.0447            |
|     ECN_20pct_2hr       0.0435    0.0412     0.0495     0.0477    0.0563     0.0485   0.0514   0.0482   0.0519   0.0535   0.0492   0.0042   0.0490           |
|   ECN_20pct_30min         0.0489    0.0462     0.0454     0.0457    0.0476     0.0458   0.0475   0.0476   0.0477   0.0478   0.0470   0.0011   0.0475            |
|     ECN_20pct_3hr       0.0569    0.0551     0.0615     0.0424    0.0544     0.0478   0.0443   0.0418   0.0514   0.0574   0.0513   0.0065   0.0529           |
|   ECN_20pct_45min         0.0489    0.0471     0.0486     0.0496    0.0485     0.0493   0.0500   0.0511   0.0526   0.0521   0.0498   0.0016   0.0494            |
|   ECN_20pct_4_5hr         0.0598   0.0457      0.0511    0.0412    0.0453     0.0449   0.0480   0.0490   0.0486   0.0509   0.0484   0.0047   0.0483            |
|     ECN_20pct_6hr       0.0451    0.0373     0.0527     0.0445    0.0422     0.0440   0.0428   0.0489   0.0361   0.0427   0.0436   0.0046   0.0434           |
*=============================================================================================================================================
| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 20% AEP is the ensemble ECN_20pct_3hr.                                                                 |
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 5 (storm name : ECN_20pct_3hr_5).                                                                      |
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 3 (storm name : ECN_20pct_3hr_3).                                                      |
*=============================================================================================================================================


                                              AEP: 5% - Max Flow (m^3/s)
*=============================================================================================================================================
|     Ensemble name Storm 1 Storm 2 Storm 3 Storm 4 Storm 5 Storm 6 Storm 7 Storm 8 Storm 9 Storm 10 Average Std. Dev.                              Median          |
*=============================================================================================================================================
|    ECN_5pct_10min         0.0388   0.0390     0.0395     0.0389     0.0390    0.0383    0.0394   0.0388   0.0380   0.0402   0.0390   0.0006   0.0389            |
|    ECN_5pct_15min         0.0477   0.0479     0.0476     0.0485     0.0478    0.0467    0.0476   0.0477   0.0493   0.0484   0.0479   0.0007   0.0478            |
|    ECN_5pct_1_5hr        0.0667    0.0630     0.0698    0.0598     0.0627     0.0643   0.0637   0.0620   0.0666   0.0706   0.0649   0.0033   0.0640            |
|     ECN_5pct_1hr        0.0690   0.0621     0.0619     0.0593     0.0641    0.0665    0.0658   0.0643   0.0632   0.0714   0.0648   0.0034   0.0642           |
|    ECN_5pct_20min         0.0530   0.0525     0.0530     0.0538     0.0537    0.0535    0.0525   0.0549   0.0548   0.0517   0.0533   0.0010   0.0532            |
|    ECN_5pct_25min         0.0565   0.0581     0.0554     0.0551     0.0552    0.0586    0.0564   0.0572   0.0557   0.0584   0.0567   0.0013   0.0564            |
|     ECN_5pct_2hr        0.0698   0.0686     0.0608     0.0667     0.0700    0.0630    0.0653   0.0675   0.0644   0.0679   0.0664   0.0029   0.0671           |
|    ECN_5pct_30min         0.0580   0.0575     0.0590     0.0590     0.0592    0.0594    0.0606   0.0599   0.0604   0.0600   0.0593   0.0009   0.0593            |
|     ECN_5pct_3hr        0.0724   0.0626     0.0600     0.0662     0.0582    0.0644    0.0678   0.0652   0.0681   0.0709   0.0656   0.0043   0.0657           |
|    ECN_5pct_45min         0.0605   0.0611     0.0629     0.0649     0.0646    0.0642    0.0638   0.0632   0.0659   0.0657   0.0637   0.0017   0.0640            |
|    ECN_5pct_4_5hr        0.0565    0.0507     0.0727    0.0707     0.0497     0.0727   0.0589   0.0574   0.0647   0.0704   0.0624   0.0085   0.0618            |
|     ECN_5pct_6hr        0.0727   0.0665     0.0592     0.0532     0.0614    0.0455    0.0625   0.0657   0.0636   0.0566   0.0607   0.0072   0.0619           |
*=============================================================================================================================================
| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 5% AEP is the ensemble ECN_5pct_2hr.                                                                   |
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 8 (storm name : ECN_5pct_2hr_8).                                                                       |
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 5 (storm name : ECN_5pct_2hr_5).                                                       |
*=============================================================================================================================================


                                    AEP: 50% - Max Flow (m^3/s)
*=============================================================================================================================================
|    Ensemble name Storm 1 Storm 2 Storm 3 Storm 4 Storm 5 Storm 6 Storm 7 Storm 8 Storm 9 Storm 10 Average Std. Dev.   Median             |
*=============================================================================================================================================
|   ECN_50pct_10min  0.0211  0.0210   0.0210   0.0217    0.0215 0.0215 0.0210 0.0216 0.0211 0.0212  0.0213  0.0003  0.0211              |
|   ECN_50pct_15min  0.0262  0.0256   0.0263   0.0265    0.0265 0.0265 0.0266 0.0267 0.0263 0.0264  0.0264  0.0003  0.0264              |
|   ECN_50pct_1_5hr 0.0350  0.0370   0.0345    0.0361    0.0422 0.0338 0.0367 0.0352 0.0439 0.0436  0.0378  0.0037  0.0364             |


[OCR of page images]
Summary information:

Total No. of Ensembles:

No. of Storms per ensemble:
No. of AEP Bands:
Object Name:

Result type:

Results:

60

10

5

Link1_Low
Max Flow

INNOVYZE ENSEMBLE STATISTICS UTILITY
(c) Innovyze 2020

AEP: 10% - Max Flow (m43/s)

 

 

| Ensemble name Storm1 Storm2 Storm3 Storm4 Storm5 Storm6 Storm7 Storm8 Storm9 Storm10 Average Std.Dev. Median
| ECN_10pct_10min 0.0332 0.0333 0.0328 0.0344 0.0337 0.0336 0.0346 0.0335 0.0333 0.0344 0.0337 0.0006 0.0335
| ECN_10pct_15min 0.0417 0.0427 0.0424 0.0433 0.0418 0.0418 0.0423 0.0426 0.0438 0.0430 0.0425 0.0007 0.0425
| ECN_10pct_1_Shr 0.0596 0.0556 0.0628 0.0531 0.0561 0.0573 0.0567 0.0553 0.0596 0.0635 0.0580 0.0032 0.0570
| ECN_10pct_ihr 0.0623 0.0557 0.0555 0.0525 0.0572 0.0602 0.0594 0.0576 0.0564 0.0645 0.0581 0.0034 0.0574

| ECN_10pct_20min 0.0475 0.0474 0.0481 0.0486 0.0487 0.0490 0.0475 0.0491 0.0484 0.0467 0.0481 0.0008 0.0483
| ECN_10pct_25min 0.0509 0.0524 0.0495 0.0498 0.0497 0.0527 0.0514 0.0518 0.0502 0.0524 0.0511 0.0012 0.0512
| ECN_10pct_2hr 0.0621 0.0607 0.0537 0.0594 0.0621 0.0559 0.0576 0.0598 0.0572 0.0599 0.0589 0.0026 0.0596

| ECN_10pct_30min 0.0527 0.0519 0.0538 0.0542 0.0534 0.0531 0.0547 0.0539 0.0549 0.0544 0.0537 0.0009 0.0538
| ECN_10pct_3hr 0.0645 0.0549 0.0523 0.0591 0.0507 0.0565 0.0600 0.0573 0.0604 0.0628 0.0578 0.0042 0.0582

| ECN_10pct_45min 0.0544 0.0552 0.0560 0.0584 0.0584 0.0580 0.0571 0.0567 0.0593 0.0589 0.0572 0.0016 0.0575
| ECN_10pct_4 Shr 0.0500 0.0441 0.0670 0.0626 0.0427 0.0667 0.0513 0.0503 0.0574 0.0622 0.0554 0.0085 0.0543
| ECN_10pct_6hr 0.0680 0.0591 0.0518 0.0464 0.0537 0.0389 0.0556 0.0572 0.0556 0.0494 0.0536 0.0074 0.0546

 

| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 10% AEP is the ensemble ECN_10pct_2hr.
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 8 (storm name : ECN_10pct_2hr_8).
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 1 (storm name : ECN_10pct_2hr_1).

 

AEP: 20% - Max Flow (m43/s)

 

 

| Ensemble name Storm1 Storm2 Storm3 Storm4 Storm5 Storm6 Storm7 Storm8 Storm9 Storm10 Average Std.Dev. Median
| ECN_20pct_10min 0.0279 0.0278 0.0278 0.0292 0.0285 0.0288 0.0278 0.0287 0.0275 0.0280 0.0282 0.0005 0.0279
| ECN_20pct_15min 0.0356 0.0351 0.0354 0.0351 0.0362 0.0362 0.0366 0.0373 0.0374 0.0380 0.0363 0.0010 0.0362
| ECN_20pct_1_Shr 0.0477 0.0505 0.0465 0.0490 0.0551 0.0467 0.0491 0.0480 0.0570 0.0571 0.0507 0.0039 0.0491
| ECN_20pct_ihr 0.0508 0.0489 0.0473 0.0520 0.0511 0.0539 0.0520 0.0493 0.0541 0.0546 0.0514 0.0023 0.0515

| ECN_20pct_20min 0.0398 0.0405 0.0406 0.0410 0.0411 0.0404 0.0422 0.0412 0.0418 0.0429 0.0412 0.0009 0.0411
| ECN_20pct_25min 0.0444 0.0445 0.0432 0.0443 0.0431 0.0448 0.0451 0.0451 0.0454 0.0456 0.0446 0.0008 0.0447
| ECN_20pct_2hr 0.0435 0.0412 0.0495 0.0477 0.0563 0.0485 0.0514 0.0482 0.0519 0.0535 0.0492 0.0042 0.0490

| ECN_20pct_30min 0.0489 0.0462 0.0454 0.0457 0.0476 0.0458 0.0475 0.0476 0.0477 0.0478 0.0470 0.0011 0.0475
| ECN_20pct_3hr 0.0569 0.0551 0.0615 0.0424 0.0544 0.0478 0.0443 0.0418 0.0514 0.0574 0.0513 0.0065 0.0529

| ECN_20pct_45min 0.0489 0.0471 0.0486 0.0496 0.0485 0.0493 0.0500 0.0511 0.0526 0.0521 0.0498 0.0016 0.0494
| ECN_20pct_4 Shr 0.0598 0.0457 0.0511 0.0412 0.0453 0.0449 0.0480 0.0490 0.0486 0.0509 0.0484 0.0047 0.0483
| ECN_20pct_6hr 0.0451 0.0373 0.0527 0.0445 0.0422 0.0440 0.0428 0.0489 0.0361 0.0427 0.0436 0.0046 0.0434

 

| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 20% AEP is the ensemble ECN_20pct_3hr.
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 5 (storm name : ECN_20pct_3hr_5).
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 3 (storm name : ECN_20pct_3hr_3).

 

AEP: 5% - Max Flow (m43/s)

 

 

| Ensemble name Storm1 Storm2 Storm3 Storm4 Storm5 Storm6 Storm7 Storm8 Storm9 Storm10 Average Std.Dev. Median
| ECN_5pct_10min 0.0388 0.0390 0.0395 0.0389 0.0390 0.0383 0.0394 0.0388 0.0380 0.0402 0.0390 0.0006 0.0389
| ECN_5pet_15min 0.0477 0.0479 0.0476 += 0.0485-— «0.0478 =:0.0467 = «0.0476 = 0.0477 Ss «0.0493 «0.0484 =—:0.0479' 0.0007 —s:«0.0478
| ECN_5Spct_1_5hr 0.0667 0.0630 0.0698 0.0598 0.0627 0.0643 0.0637 0.0620 0.0666 0.0706 0.0649 0.0033 0.0640
| ECN_5pet_thr 0.0690 0.0621 0.0619 0.0593 0.0641 0.0665 0.0658 0.0643 0.0632 0.0714 0.0648 0.0034 0.0642

| ECN_5pct_20min 0.0530 0.0525 0.0530 0.0538 0.0537 0.0535 0.0525 0.0549 0.0548 0.0517 0.0533 0.0010 0.0532
| ECN_5Spct_25min 0.0565 0.0581 0.0554 0.0551 0.0552 0.0586 0.0564 0.0572 0.0557 0.0584 0.0567 0.0013 0.0564
| ECN_5pet_2hr 0.0698 0.0686 0.0608 0.0667 0.0700 0.0630 0.0653 0.0675 0.0644 0.0679 0.0664 0.0029 0.0671

| ECN_5pct_30min 0.0580 0.0575 0.0590 0.0590 0.0592 0.0594 0.0606 0.0599 0.0604 0.0600 0.0593 0.0009 0.0593
| ECN_5pet_3hr 0.0724 0.0626 0.0600 0.0662 0.0582 0.0644 0.0678 0.0652 0.0681 0.0709 0.0656 0.0043 0.0657

| ECN_5pct_45min 0.0605 0.0611 0.0629 0.0649 0.0646 0.0642 0.0638 0.0632 0.0659 0.0657 0.0637 0.0017 0.0640
| ECN_5pet_4 5hr 0.0565 0.0507 0.0727 0.0707 0.0497 0.0727 0.0589 0.0574 0.0647 0.0704 0.0624 0.0085 0.0618
| ECN_5Spet_6hr 0.0727 0.0665 0.0592 0.0532 0.0614 0.0455 0.0625 0.0657 0.0636 0.0566 0.0607 0.0072 0.0619

 

| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 5% AEP is the ensemble ECN_5pct_2hr.
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 8 (storm name : ECN_5pct_2hr_8).
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 5 (storm name : ECN_5pct_2hr_5).

 

AEP: 50% - Max Flow (m43/s)

 

 

Ensemble name Storm1 Storm2 Storm3 Storm4 Storm5 Storm6 Storm7 Storm8 Storm9 Storm10 Average Std.Dev. Median
ECN_S5Opct_10min 0.0211 0.0210 0.0210 0.0217 0.0215 0.0215 0.0210 0.0216 0.0211 0.0212 0.0213 0.0003 0.0211
ECN_S5Opct_15min 0.0262 0.0256 0.0263 0.0265 0.0265 0.0265 0.0266 0.0267 0.0263 0.0264 0.0264 0.0003 0.0264
ECN_S5Opct_1_5hr 0.0350 0.0370 0.0345 0.0361 0.0422 0.0338 0.0367 0.0352 0.0439 0.0436 0.0378 0.0037 0.0364
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