Attachment 2 - Economic Needs Assessment

3.2 Population and Dwellings
3.2.1 Historic Population
As at 30 June 2021, the population of the PTA was 7,789 persons, up 1,488 (or 23.6%) relative to
2011. This equates to an average growth rate (AAGR) of 2.1% between 2011 and 2021. The
population of the STA was 2,905 in 2021, up 201 (or 7.4%) relative to 2011. This equates to an AAGR
of 0.7% between 2011 and 2020.
Table 3-1 summarises the population trends within the PTA and STA between 2011 and 2020.
Table 3-1         Historic Population – PTA and STA, 2011 to 2021
 Financial Year                   PTA           STA           Total
 2011                                   6,301         2,704       9,005
 2012                                   6,374         2,759       9,133
 2013                                   6,497         2,851       9,348
 2014                                   6,579         2,882       9,461
 2015                                   6,602         2,901       9,503
 2016                                   6,659         2,907       9,566
 2017                                   6,895         2,876       9,771
 2018                                   7,121         2,921      10,042
 2019                                   7,392         2,898      10,290
 2020                                   7,600         2,914      10,514
 2021                                   7,789         2,905      10,694
 Growth, 2011-21 (no.)                  1,488          201        1,689
 Growth, 2011-21 (%)                    23.6%         7.4%        18.8%
 AAGR, 2011-21 (%)                       2.1%         0.7%            1.7%
Source: QGSO (2022)

3.2.2 Population & Dwelling Projections
The projected residential population for the PTA and STA is as follows:
    +   PTA: from 7,789 persons in 2021 to 8,689 persons by 2031 (up 900 persons); and
    +   STA: from 2,905 persons in 2021 to 3,241 persons by 2031 (up 336 persons).

Total population growth across both trade areas is anticipated to be 1,236 persons between 2021
and 2031, with the PTA underpinning the majority of growth during this assessment horizon.
Based on total population and the total number of dwellings within the PTA and STA as of the 2021
Census, the average household size of the PTA and STA in 2021 was derived. Assuming the average
household size within the PTA and STA declines at a rate of 0.4% per annum, the number of
dwellings for each trade area is projected to increase as follows:                                      Commented [EF1]: Changed this slightly to be a -
                                                                                                        0.4% aagr for both trade areas since a change in
    +   PTA: from 2,892 dwellings in 2021 to 3,351 dwellings in 2031 (up 459 dwellings); and
                                                                                                        the calculation of dwelling size meant both trade
    +   STA: from 1,089 dwellings in 2021 to 1,262 dwellings in 2031 (up 173 dwellings).                area dwelling sizes are approx 2.7

Total growth in dwellings across both trade areas is anticipated to be in the order of 632 dwellings
between 2021 and 2031, with the PTA underpinning the majority of growth during this assessment
horizon.




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