2021-12-13 GC Agenda - Item 8 -Attachment 1 - Housing Needs Assessment

Table 1 Estimated Resident Population and Growth


 Area                          Estimated Resident Population10            Average annual growth rate
                                           30 June 2020                             2010-2020

 Noosa Shire LGA                                              56,587                                   1.1%

 Sunshine Coast SA4                                          393,049                                   2.3%

 SEQ Region                                                3,625,230                                   2.1%

 Queensland                                                5,176,186                                   1.6%

The most recent estimate of population and growth rates of each of these are listed below. As can
be seen Noosa Hinterland, which includes the town of Cooroy and villages of Kin Kin, Cooran,
Pomona and Boreen Point as well as Noosa North Shore and all the rural residential areas of the
Shire, has the highest population and the one experiencing the highest level of growth. Tewantin
has the second highest population, but growth rates have been very low over the last decade. The
population of the Peregian Beach – Marcus Beach SA2 is the lowest and has very little scope for
further growth through development or redevelopment. Short-term accommodation and holiday
homes may also have an impact on permanent occupation.


Table 2 Estimated Resident Population and Growth by SA2


 SA2                            Estimated resident population at           Average annual growth rate
                                         30 June 2020                              2015-2020

 Noosa Hinterland                                               24,287                                 1.7%

 Tewantin                                                       10,586                                 0.1%

 Noosaville                                                       9,533                                1.3%

 Noosa Heads                                                      4,940                                1.1%

 Sunshine Beach                                                   7,186                                1.4%

 Peregian Beach-Marcus                                            3,955                                0.3%
 Beach

The beachside SA2s and hinterland are the only areas with natural population increase, all other
SA2s have been growing through inward migration.
According to the 2018 edition of the Queensland Government population projections the population
of Noosa Shire is projected to increase from 54,033 persons in 2016 to 64,999 persons in 2041. This
would equate to an average annual growth rate of just 0.7% over that 25 year period. By comparison
Sunshine Coast Regional Council is forecast to experience a rate of 2.2%, and the State’s figure is
1.6%.




10 The estimated resident population (ERP) figure is the official population estimate, updated annually by the

State.


Noosa Housing Needs Assessment 2021                                                                  Page 26