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2015-06-23 I&S Agenda - Item 5 - Local Disaster Management Plan - Attachment 1

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                 Risk                Jan        Feb        Mar           Apr     May          Jun        Jul         Aug       Sep             Oct     Nov        Dec

14 - Major Fire (Urban/Industrial   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE
Areas)
15 - Hazardous Material Accident    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE
(Land Transport Corridor)
16 - Hazardous Material Accident    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE
(Marine Environment)
17 - Major Passenger Transport      POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE
Accident (Mass Casualties)

18 - Major Air Transport Accident   UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY    UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY    UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY    UNLIKELY    UNLIKELY   UNLIKELY


19 - Pandemic                       POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE

20 - Extreme High Temperatures      POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   UNLIKELY    RARE         RARE      RARE         RARE      RARE            RARE   UNLIKELY   POSSIBLE
(>37 degrees, >2 days)

21 - Exotic Animal/Plant Disease    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE


22 - Terrorism                       RARE       RARE       RARE          RARE    RARE         RARE      RARE         RARE      RARE            RARE    RARE       RARE


23 - Cyber Security Incident        POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE    POSSIBLE   POSSIBLE
(Emerging Risk)
24 - Black Swan (Unpredictable,      RARE       RARE       RARE          RARE    RARE         RARE      RARE         RARE      RARE            RARE    RARE       RARE
Extreme Events)


Likelihood Rating Scale                 IMPROBABLE                RARE                  UNLIKELY               POSSIBLE               LIKELY            ALMOST CERTAIN


* Based on available Bureau of Meteorology Data at September 2011




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