2017-04-11 P&E Agenda Attachment 1 to Item 1 Housing Needs Assessment

occupied. In this report, ‘visitor dwellings’ and the projection of ‘visitor dwellings’ include
unoccupied dwellings which have been assumed to be used when occupied by visitors, and
therefore this should be considered when making comparisons with the dwelling projections
outlined here.

Table 47. Dwelling Projections, Noosa Shire, 2011-2036

Dwelling                                                   As at 30 June

                                     2011   2016        2021          2026         2031         2036

Low Series                       24,250     26,094     26,994        28,127       29,095        30,002

Medium Series                    24,250     26,233     27,416        28,907       30,191        31,405

High Series                      24,250     26,373     27,839        29,692       31,293        32,814

Source: Queensland Government household and dwelling projections, 2015 edition (Queensland Government
2016h);

To summarise, the State Government projections suggest growth from 2016 to 2036 of around
8,310 people, 2,441 households and 5,172 dwellings. It should be noted that these figures are
not directly comparable. As noted above, residents may live in non-private dwellings but these
are excluded from household and dwelling projections, and dwelling projections include
unoccupied dwellings.

6.3.4    Unitywater Demand Modeller and Tracking Tool (DMaTT) Dwelling Projections
Modelling undertaken by Unitywater using their Demand Modeller and Tracking Tool (DMaTT)
(2016) for Noosa Shire was utilised to supplement the projections of QT by providing more
information on resident vis-a-vis visitor dwellings.

The DMaTT dwelling count is based on the number of observed dwellings on each property
categorised by QPP land use (i.e. dwelling house, dual occupancy, multiple dwelling, short-term
accommodation). To determine which dwellings were short term visitor accommodation, the
property name for each property which was group-titled in the cadastre that had multiple
dwellings was ‘Google’ searched for providing accommodation and classified as short term
accommodation. Where the online search found that the property provided short term
accommodation, all dwellings were marked as providing short term accommodation. One
dwelling was allocated to each group titled lot that contained a dwelling/apartment. Duplicate
lots and common property were not allocated dwellings. The number of dwellings on each
property was checked in GIS to ensure duplicates were removed and the ownership of each unit
was unique and not body corporate etc.

Only a small number of detached dwellings were identified as being visitor dwellings due to this
methodology. The methodology is likely to overstate attached visitor dwellings and detached
resident dwellings, and understate detached visitor dwellings and attached resident dwellings.

This modelling suggested that there were some 23,637 dwellings occupied by residents in 2014
(Table 48). Around 80% of these dwellings were estimated to be detached dwellings, and 20%
were attached dwellings. The model also estimates that the Noosa Plan ultimately could support
29,370 resident dwellings in the Shire, with 72% of these being detached dwellings, and 26%
being attached dwellings.

In addition to resident dwellings, it was estimated that there were 4,781 visitor dwellings in
residential zones in the Noosa Shire in 2014 (Table 49). The model estimates that the Noosa




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