2017-04-11 P&E Agenda Attachment 1 to Item 1 Housing Needs Assessment

the Shire, and exclude visitors. They also include people living in non-private dwellings such as
residential aged care facilities and tourist accommodation facilities.

Population projections for Noosa Shire are summarised in Table 45. According to the Medium
series scenario, the population growth forecast between 2016 and 2036 is around 8,310 people.

Table 45. Population Projections, Noosa Shire, 2011-2036

Dwelling                                                   As at 30 June

                                     2011    2016       2021          2026         2031         2036

Low Series                       51,038      53,470    54,975        56,970       58,481        59,814

Medium Series                    51,038      53,630    55,558        58,154       60,147        61,940

High Series                      51,038      53,790    56,151        59,373       61,875        64,158

Source: Queensland Government household and dwelling projections, 2015 edition (Queensland Government
2016g);

6.3.2    Household Projections
Household projections by type for Noosa Shire are summarised in Table 46. According to these
projections, the number of households in the Shire will increase between 2016 and 2036 by
around 2,441 households. Household projections exclude people living in non-private dwellings.

Table 46. Household Type Projections, Medium Series, Noosa Shire, 2011-2036

Household Type                                             As at 30 June

                                     2011    2016       2021          2026         2031         2036

Couple with children                 5,276   5,374      5,406        5,518         5,603        5,707

Couple without children              7,050   7,608      7,878        8,170         8,352        8,489

One parent family                    2,234   2,375      2,424        2,499         2,570        2,637

Other family                         136      146        147          149           149          151

Other household                      510      547        565          587           605          613

Lone person household                5,057   5,490      5,686        5,947         6,169        6,319

Group household                      889      949        970          992          1,006        1,012

Total Households                 21,152      22,487    23,075        23,862       24,455       24,928

Source: Queensland Government household and dwelling projections, 2015 edition (Queensland Government
2016h);

6.3.3    Dwelling Projections
Dwelling projections are developed by making assumptions about the future dwelling needs of
projected households, and then distributing these dwellings to areas in Queensland based on
the same breakdown as the population projections. Dwelling projections include both occupied
and unoccupied dwellings.

Dwelling projections for Noosa Shire are provided in Table 47. According to the Medium series
projection, the number of dwellings in the Shire will increase by 5,172 dwellings between 2016
and 2036. Some of these dwellings are vacant dwellings which are used by visitors when




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