2017-04-11 P&E Agenda Attachment 1 to Item 1 Housing Needs Assessment

Figure 57. Yearly change in total visitor nights, Queensland, 2005/06 to 2024/25




Total visitor nights in Queensland are projected by Tourism Research Australia to increase at a
rate of around 4.2% per year during 2016-2021 and by 3.9% per year in 2021-2025 (the
projections end at the year to 30 June 2025). The projections for Brisbane and Gold Coast are for
growth of around 4.5% per year in 2016-2021 and by 4.1% per year in 2021-2025 (Table 51).

Table 51. Forecast annual growth rates for total visitor nights, Brisbane and Gold Coast,
and Rest of State, 2016-2025

                       Brisbane and Gold
Period                                         Rest of State            Queensland
                             Coast

2016-2021                      4.5%                3.9%                    4.2%

2021-2025                      4.1%                3.6%                    3.9%

Source: Tourism Research Australia 2016;

However, when a trend line is added to the yearly change in total visitor nights for Brisbane and
Gold Coast (combined) for the period between 2005/06 and 2014/15, the trend is closer to 2.5%
per year; and for the rest of Queensland, the trend is lower at around 2.0% (these trend lines are
also shown on Figure 57).

Rather than apply the forecast annual growth rates developed by Tourism Research Australia,
the average, or trend, rates of growth have been applied in Section 6.4.3 to assist in assessing
possible future visitor accommodation requirements. The rate for Brisbane and Gold Coast was
used as it was considered these may be more appropriate than using the figures for the rest of
the State (that is, a flat 2.5% annual growth rate).




Briggs & Mortar Pty Ltd | Page 149