2017-04-11 P&E Agenda Attachment 1 to Item 1 Housing Needs Assessment

planning. The assessment shows that continued increase in tourist accommodation to meet an
increase in visitation of 2.5% per annum would not be sustainable in terms of accommodation
provision.

Table 65. Assumed overall need for tourist accommodation and visitor dwellings, Noosa
Shire, 2016-2036

Year                     Tourist Accommodation                       Visitor Dwellings               NEED

               Additional       New Resort      Retrieved       Additional       New Supply        Need for
              Need (with          Supply       Capacity in       Demand           (DMaTT)           Tourist/
              2.5% annual                        Resorts        (with 2.5%                           Visitor
                growth)                         (Medium           annual                           Dwellings
                                                 Change)         growth)

2016               -50                0              0              -352             149              -253

2021              -152               428            44              -560             282               42

2026              -271               428            88              -839             368              -226

2031              -407               428           131             -1,185            393              -640

2036              -562               428           175             -1,596            416             -1,139

Notes: This table shows the total shortfall over assumed provision at 2014/15. Figures are accumulative30.
Negative figures show additional need or a shortfall (shown in red). Positive figures show additional supply or
an ‘oversupply’ (shown in black).


6.5 Opportunities for Meeting Future Housing Needs

6.5.1      Meeting Resident Needs
There are assumed to be two ways to meet resident dwelling stock needs – through the take-up
of secondary dwelling provisions, and new stock (infill/greenfield development).

Secondary Dwellings
Additional secondary dwellings may help to meet the dwelling needs of the future Noosa Shire
population. Secondary dwellings have traditionally been supported where the occupant of the
secondary dwelling is related to the occupant of the primary dwelling; hence the reason these
dwellings have been termed ‘granny flats’.




30
     As above, the figures in this table are accumulative which means that each year’s figures build on and
include the figures for prior years. For example, in 2016 the DMaTT model estimated that there could be an
additional 149 visitor dwellings of supply, and by 2021 this new supply would increase to a total of 282
visitor dwellings (an increase of 133 visitor dwellings during this five year period). There is no need to sum
the figures to provide the overall additional supply at 2021, the figure shown is the total new supply at that
year. Similarly with the total shortfall in tourist/visitor dwellings, the estimated need at 2031 is estimated to
be 640 tourist/visitor dwellings compared to assumed supply, and this increases to a total need of 1,139
tourist/visitor dwellings at 2036 (an increase in the shortfall of 499 tourist/visitor dwellings during this five
year period).




Briggs & Mortar Pty Ltd | Page 168