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Reference Document - MCU25 0060 (As Published)
Table 3: Details of Qualitative Risk Assessment for Property (AGS 2007)
Assessed
Hazard Likelihood Consequence
Risk
Comments
Failure through very loose to Unlikely Medium Low Given the moderate natural gradients through the
loose natural sands above the proposed building area and limited depth of loose or
foundation depth very loose sands, it is considered Unlikely that a landslip
would develop in these materials, subject to
implementation of the recommendations in Section 4.
Given a potential Medium impact from such instability
the resultant risk would be Low as per AGS 2007.
Deep failure through the Rare Major Low The likelihood of a deep failure through the medium
medium dense (or denser) dense (or denser) natural sand below the proposed
sands below the foundation foundation depth is assessed as Rare due to the lack of
depth precedence of such movements locally, no signs of any
existing slope instability and a lack of groundwater.
Although the consequence of such a failure would be
Major, the resultant risk is Low as per AGS 2007.
Temporary instability through Rare Major Low The likelihood of a slide/failure through any temporary
temporary retention system, as retention system (sheet pile wall, contiguous pile wall or
discussed in Section 6.4. similar) as outlined in Section 6.4, is assessed as Rare,
subject to detailed design by a suitable qualified RPEQ
engineer and construction by a specialist contractor
which accounts for the required factors of safety against
slope instability. Although the consequence of such a
failure would be Major, the resultant risk is Low as per
AGS2007.
The potential impacts on slope stability of the development components have been assessed, and the
measures recommended below in Section 4 have been designed to mitigate those impacts.
5.2.1 Quantitative Assessment
In order to estimate the factor of safety (FOS) against slope instability for the proposed development,
numerical analysis has been conducted using Slope/W including consideration of groundwater
conditions. As per the advice in the recommendations below, it is expected that footings would be taken
to found in the underlying medium dense (or denser) sands, and therefore a surcharge on the subgrade
would only occur where these materials are expected to daylight following bulk excavation. A surcharge
load of 10 kPa per residential storey has been adopted in these locations. A 5 kPa uniform surface has
been applied in all proposed external landscaped areas otherwise. Groundwater levels were assumed at
2 m BGL, which is noted to be conservative, given the sandy subsurface profile and the ground
conditions encountered during our investigation.
The approximate extent of the section line analysed as part of numerical analysis (Section A-A’) is
indicated in Figure 1. The key points from our analyses for the proposed development are summarised as
follows (given overleaf):
Proposed Residential Development
25 August 2025 | 25038-001-Rev0 11
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