ENDORSEMENT OF NOOSA LOCAL DISASTER MANAGEMENT PLAN 2026 · ATTACHMENT 1 - 2026 Local Disaster Management Plan

Section 4.3
4.3    Results
Full results of the QERMF risk assessment are included in the report: Multi-hazard Risk Assessment of Noosa
Regional Council using Queensland Emergency Risk Management Framework (QERMF). A summary of the
high-level risk assessment information to inform PPRR can be found in the Natural Hazard Risks and Non-
Natural Hazard Risks sections below.

4.3.1 Natural Hazard Risks
The Table 3 below provides a summary of the scenario components assessed and likelihood results of the
QERMF risk assessment process in relation to the six event scenarios selected by QFD for assessment.

 Event / scenario      Primary hazards                QFD designated Determined            QERMF
                                                      probability (AEP) probability
                                                                                           Likelihood
                                                                        (AEP)

 Severe Tropical        •   Widespread Severe         < 0.5%            1-10%              Unlikely
 Cyclone                    (Destructive) Wind
 (Cat 3-5)              •   Flooding
                        •   Storm tide
                        •   Coastal Erosion
 Tropical Low /         •   Widespread Severe         5%                1-10%              Possible
 Cyclone                    (Damaging) Wind
 (Low - Cat 2)          •   Flooding
                        •   Storm tide
 Severe                 •   Lightning                 100%              >63%               Almost
 Thunderstorm                                                                              Certain
                        •   Hail
 Event
                        •   Wind gusts
                        •   Localised Severe Wind
                            (Tornado)
                        •   Flash flooding
 Earthquake             •   Earthquake                0.06%             0.1-1%             Rare
                        •   Tsunami
                        •   Landslide
 Bushfire /             •   Bushfire (rural and urban 100%              10-63%             Likely
                            interface)
 Heatwave
                        •   Extreme heatwave

                        Table 3: QERMF Scenario components and likelihood




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