Appendix F- Economic Impact Assessment · MCU23/0078

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                              Population

                              The catchment had an estimated resident population of 95,334 in June 2022, having
                              grown at a rate of 1.3% per annum over the three years since 2019 (or adding 1,195
                              persons per year on average). Prior to 2019, the catchment area experienced more rapid
                              population growth, with 2.3% increases per annum between 2016 to 2019, or more than
                              an additional 2,000 residents per year.

                              Within the catchment, growth has historically been focussed in the Secondary South East
                              sector where some broadhectare development opportunities remain around Peregian
                              Springs. In the Primary and Secondary East sectors, growth occurs as infill development
                              and is therefore more limited.

                              Population growth continued during the COVID-19 pandemic, mirroring the trends within
                              South East Queensland which benefited from interstate migration gains, while being less
                              impacted by reductions in net overseas migration.

                              Beyond 2022, the catchment area’s population growth is projected to be moderate when
                              compared to figures prior to 2019, based on projections released by the Queensland
                              Government Statistician’s Office (QGSO) which may be conservatively low. The
                              catchment is forecast to increase to 100,210 persons by 2027, at an average 1.0% pa, and
                              then to continue to increase to 102,185 persons in 2030 and 104,815 persons in 2035.
                              Although the growth projections are based on the official state government projections,
                              some modifications in the near term have been applied to reflect recovery out of COVID.

Table 3—Catchment population trends and projections (2011 to 2035)

Catchment area sector                             2011              2016              2019             2022                 2027     2030              2035
Population
Primary                                        21,567            22,996            23,706            23,825            24,685       25,180           25,925
Secondary East                                 10,918            11,569            11,984            12,238            12,850       13,120           13,470
Secondary South East                           22,214            26,888            30,573            32,366            34,010       34,410           34,775
Secondary South West                             4,981             5,611            5,872             6,283             6,740        6,950            7,340
Secondary North West                           17,516            18,566            19,613            20,622            21,925       22,525           23,305
Total                                          77,196            85,630            91,748            95,334          100,210       102,185         104,815
Population growth (No. per annum)
Primary                                               -              286              237                 40                172       165               149
Secondary East                                        -              130              138                 85                122        90                70
Secondary South East                                  -              935            1,228               598                 329       133                73
Secondary South West                                  -              126                87              137                  91        70                78
Secondary North West                                  -              210              349               336                 261       200               156
Total                                                 -            1,687            2,039             1,195                 975       658               526
Population growth (% per annum)
Primary                                               -            1.3%              1.0%              0.2%                 0.7%     0.7%              0.6%
Secondary East                                        -            1.2%              1.2%              0.7%                 1.0%     0.7%              0.5%
Secondary South East                                  -            3.9%              4.4%              1.9%                 1.0%     0.4%              0.2%
Secondary South West                                  -            2.4%              1.5%              2.3%                 1.4%     1.0%              1.1%
Secondary North West                                  -            1.2%              1.8%              1.7%                 1.2%     0.9%              0.7%
Total                                                 -            2.1%              2.3%              1.3%                 1.0%     0.7%              0.5%

Source: Deep End Services; ABS; Queensland Government Statistician’s Office (QSGO) population projections 2018 edition




                              Noosa Village Mixed Use Development – Economic Impact Statement for Development Application                    Deep End Services