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Section 4.3
4.3 Results
Full results of the QERMF risk assessment are included in the report: Multi-hazard Risk Assessment of Noosa
Regional Council using Queensland Emergency Risk Management Framework (QERMF). A summary of the
high-level risk assessment information to inform PPRR can be found in the Natural Hazard Risks and Non-
Natural Hazard Risks sections below.
4.3.1 Natural Hazard Risks
The Table 3 below provides a summary of the scenario components assessed and likelihood results of the
QERMF risk assessment process in relation to the six event scenarios selected by QFD for assessment.
Event / scenario Primary hazards QFD designated Determined QERMF
probability (AEP) probability
Likelihood
(AEP)
Severe Tropical • Widespread Severe < 0.5% 1-10% Unlikely
Cyclone (Destructive) Wind
(Cat 3-5) • Flooding
• Storm tide
• Coastal Erosion
Tropical Low / • Widespread Severe 5% 1-10% Possible
Cyclone (Damaging) Wind
(Low - Cat 2) • Flooding
• Storm tide
Severe • Lightning 100% >63% Almost
Thunderstorm Certain
• Hail
Event
• Wind gusts
• Localised Severe Wind
(Tornado)
• Flash flooding
Earthquake • Earthquake 0.06% 0.1-1% Rare
• Tsunami
• Landslide
Bushfire / • Bushfire (rural and urban 100% 10-63% Likely
interface)
Heatwave
• Extreme heatwave
Table 3: QERMF Scenario components and likelihood
Noosa Council 2025 | Local Disaster Management Plan Page 36 of 73
Page 54 of 141
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