07/1259 - Peregian Beach needs assessment [As Published] · 132007.1259

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Section4 Tourist Visitation Projections

41 Introduction

This section provides an analysis of the current and projected tourist population
for the Sunshine Coast. The implications of this tourist growth on the
development of short stay accommodation and retail on the subject site have also
been examined.

42 Tourist Market Projections

The future provision of short stay accommodation and retail on the subject site
will be shaped by tourist population growth. Market growth will increase demand
for goods and services required within the region and the development of budget
short stay accommodation and associated retail will shape tourist growth through
supply lead demand, particularly given the decline in available budget holiday
options due to the closure of caravan parks. Both Domestic and International
tourist projections have been calculated using the latest tourism forecast data
from Tourism Queensland, 2006. Sunshine Coast visitor numbers and nights
have been derived based upon the Sunshine Coast retaining its current tourist
market share of Queensland (both domestic and international) as per the
Sunshine Coast Regional Update (Year Ending December 2005).

Domestic Visitors
Table 4.1 provides domestic tourist population projections based upon the

Sunshine Coast receiving 17% of all domestic visitors to Queensland and 15% of
domestic visitor nights.

 

 

Table 4.1
Domestic Tourist Market Growth
2006 2011 2016

Queensland
Visitors Numbers 16,748,305 16,977,213 17,439,043
Visitor Nights 76,239,000 77,281,000 + 79,383,268
Sunshine Coast
Visitor Numbers 2,847,212 2,885,126 2,964,637
Visitor Nights 11,435,850 11,692,150 11,907,480

 

Source: Tourism Queensland, Tourism Forecasts October 2006, Core Economics

Key characteristics include:

o From 2006 to 2011, domestic tourist numbers are estimated to increase by
38,914 visitors to a total of 2.89 million in 2011. Domestic visitor nights are
expected to increase from 2006 by 156,300 nights, reaching 11.59 million by
2011.

o From 2011 to 2016 domestic tourists are estimated to increase by 78,511
teaching 2.96 million by 2016. Visitor nights are anticipated to increase from
2011 by 315,340 nights, reaching 11.91 nights by 2016.

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Scanton Property Group - Peregian Beach Needs Assessment ‘Economies