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RFI - ATTACHMENT A - SBSMP - Rev 2

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                                                    INNOVYZE ENSEMBLE STATISTICS UTILITY
                                                            (c) Innovyze 2020

Summary information:

           Total No. of Ensembles:              63
           No. of Storms per ensemble:          10
           No. of AEP Bands:                     7
           Object Name:                  Post Dev B to Lot 61
           Result type:                  Max Flow


Results:


                                              AEP: 1% - Max Flow (m^3/s)
*=============================================================================================================================================
|     Ensemble name Storm 1 Storm 2 Storm 3 Storm 4 Storm 5 Storm 6 Storm 7 Storm 8 Storm 9 Storm 10 Average Std. Dev.                              Median          |
*=============================================================================================================================================
|    ECN_1pct_10min         0.0689   0.0742     0.0695     0.0727     0.0784    0.0717    0.0760   0.0675   0.0897   0.0657   0.0734   0.0066   0.0722            |
|    ECN_1pct_15min         0.0859   0.0704     0.0644     0.0614     0.0834    0.0789    0.0662   0.1028   0.0855   0.0644   0.0763   0.0126   0.0747            |
|    ECN_1pct_1_5hr        0.0533    0.0625     0.0595    0.0501     0.0617     0.0581   0.0563   0.0686   0.0541   0.0593   0.0583   0.0050   0.0587            |
|     ECN_1pct_1hr        0.0953   0.0757     0.0577     0.0623     0.0449    0.0704    0.0509   0.0566   0.0612   0.0620   0.0637   0.0134   0.0616           |
|    ECN_1pct_20min         0.0775   0.1034     0.0624     0.0559     0.0667    0.0705    0.0626   0.0693   0.0664   0.0771   0.0712   0.0124   0.0680            |
|    ECN_1pct_25min         0.0699   0.1034     0.0667     0.0732     0.0810    0.0647    0.0648   0.0767   0.0643   0.0830   0.0748   0.0115   0.0716            |
|     ECN_1pct_2hr        0.0672   0.0524     0.0517     0.0606     0.0560    0.0545    0.0409   0.0427   0.0502   0.0715   0.0548   0.0092   0.0534           |
|    ECN_1pct_30min         0.0786   0.0702     0.0965     0.0607     0.0653    0.0904    0.0662   0.0700   0.0773   0.0683   0.0744   0.0109   0.0701            |
|    ECN_1pct_45min         0.1006   0.0936     0.0644     0.0796     0.0700    0.0571    0.0599   0.0820   0.0471   0.0698   0.0724   0.0158   0.0699            |
*=============================================================================================================================================
| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 1% AEP is the ensemble ECN_1pct_15min.                                                                 |
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 6 (storm name : ECN_1pct_15min_6).                                                                      |
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 8 (storm name : ECN_1pct_15min_8).                                                     |
*=============================================================================================================================================


                                              AEP: 10% - Max Flow (m^3/s)
*=============================================================================================================================================
|     Ensemble name Storm 1 Storm 2 Storm 3 Storm 4 Storm 5 Storm 6 Storm 7 Storm 8 Storm 9 Storm 10 Average Std. Dev.                              Median          |
*=============================================================================================================================================
|   ECN_10pct_10min         0.0395    0.0385     0.0421     0.0457    0.0394     0.0368   0.0435   0.0387   0.0383   0.0473   0.0410   0.0033   0.0395            |
|   ECN_10pct_15min         0.0449    0.0440     0.0448     0.0451    0.0437     0.0423   0.0367   0.0405   0.0565   0.0525   0.0451   0.0054   0.0444            |
|   ECN_10pct_1_5hr         0.0530   0.0339      0.0484    0.0334    0.0343     0.0395   0.0361   0.0284   0.0306   0.0436   0.0381   0.0075   0.0352            |
|     ECN_10pct_1hr       0.0588    0.0365     0.0318     0.0462    0.0378     0.0432   0.0415   0.0426   0.0325   0.0642   0.0435   0.0101   0.0421           |
|   ECN_10pct_20min         0.0369    0.0369     0.0395     0.0537    0.0476     0.0453   0.0459   0.0630   0.0629   0.0429   0.0475   0.0091   0.0456            |
|   ECN_10pct_25min         0.0430    0.0675     0.0407     0.0354    0.0412     0.0631   0.0425   0.0417   0.0433   0.0554   0.0474   0.0102   0.0427            |
|     ECN_10pct_2hr       0.0439    0.0291     0.0379     0.0551    0.0424     0.0307   0.0470   0.0302   0.0393   0.0430   0.0399   0.0078   0.0409           |
|   ECN_10pct_30min         0.0331    0.0423     0.0773     0.0409    0.0372     0.0466   0.0599   0.0428   0.0494   0.0541   0.0484   0.0122   0.0447            |
|   ECN_10pct_45min         0.0418    0.0359     0.0448     0.0413    0.0441     0.0409   0.0443   0.0313   0.0585   0.0591   0.0442   0.0083   0.0430            |
*=============================================================================================================================================
| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 10% AEP is the ensemble ECN_10pct_20min.                                                               |
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 7 (storm name : ECN_10pct_20min_7).                                                                      |
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 8 (storm name : ECN_10pct_20min_8).                                                    |
*=============================================================================================================================================


                                              AEP: 2% - Max Flow (m^3/s)
*=============================================================================================================================================
|     Ensemble name Storm 1 Storm 2 Storm 3 Storm 4 Storm 5 Storm 6 Storm 7 Storm 8 Storm 9 Storm 10 Average Std. Dev.                              Median          |
*=============================================================================================================================================
|    ECN_2pct_10min         0.0572   0.0597     0.0568     0.0656     0.0630    0.0646    0.0611   0.0608   0.0708   0.0592   0.0619   0.0040   0.0610            |
|    ECN_2pct_15min         0.0679   0.0641     0.0587     0.0558     0.0732    0.0705    0.0597   0.0886   0.0764   0.0579   0.0673   0.0097   0.0660            |
|    ECN_2pct_1_5hr        0.0459    0.0553     0.0527    0.0444     0.0548     0.0517   0.0499   0.0564   0.0481   0.0527   0.0512   0.0038   0.0522            |
|     ECN_2pct_1hr        0.0848   0.0675     0.0491     0.0556     0.0400    0.0628    0.0453   0.0491   0.0546   0.0504   0.0559   0.0123   0.0525           |
|    ECN_2pct_20min         0.0677   0.0936     0.0516     0.0497     0.0592    0.0629    0.0567   0.0604   0.0585   0.0700   0.0630   0.0118   0.0598            |
|    ECN_2pct_25min         0.0598   0.0934     0.0579     0.0663     0.0649    0.0588    0.0588   0.0696   0.0578   0.0754   0.0663   0.0106   0.0624            |
|     ECN_2pct_2hr        0.0597   0.0457     0.0458     0.0538     0.0499    0.0485    0.0362   0.0380   0.0446   0.0628   0.0485   0.0081   0.0471           |
|    ECN_2pct_30min         0.0711   0.0630     0.0874     0.0550     0.0565    0.0710    0.0601   0.0634   0.0700   0.0617   0.0659   0.0090   0.0632            |
|    ECN_2pct_45min         0.0904   0.0834     0.0578     0.0712     0.0626    0.0491    0.0538   0.0690   0.0425   0.0615   0.0641   0.0141   0.0621            |
*=============================================================================================================================================
| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 2% AEP is the ensemble ECN_2pct_15min.                                                                 |
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 1 (storm name : ECN_2pct_15min_1).                                                                      |
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 8 (storm name : ECN_2pct_15min_8).                                                     |
*=============================================================================================================================================


                                              AEP: 20% - Max Flow (m^3/s)
*=============================================================================================================================================
|     Ensemble name Storm 1 Storm 2 Storm 3 Storm 4 Storm 5 Storm 6 Storm 7 Storm 8 Storm 9 Storm 10 Average Std. Dev.                           Median        |
*=============================================================================================================================================
|   ECN_20pct_10min         0.0342   0.0360      0.0360     0.0366   0.0311   0.0297   0.0358   0.0323   0.0384   0.0338   0.0344   0.0026   0.0350          |
|   ECN_20pct_15min         0.0359   0.0408      0.0362     0.0334   0.0281   0.0292   0.0321   0.0344   0.0387   0.0436   0.0352   0.0046   0.0352          |
|   ECN_20pct_1_5hr        0.0306    0.0449     0.0384     0.0257   0.0433   0.0207   0.0279   0.0340   0.0474   0.0363   0.0349   0.0084   0.0351          |
|     ECN_20pct_1hr       0.0455   0.0249      0.0295     0.0325   0.0457   0.0418   0.0294   0.0276   0.0448   0.0361   0.0358   0.0076   0.0343         |
|   ECN_20pct_20min         0.0357   0.0351      0.0314     0.0347   0.0293   0.0342   0.0366   0.0314   0.0381   0.0538   0.0360   0.0064   0.0349          |
|   ECN_20pct_25min         0.0292   0.0314      0.0295     0.0283   0.0467   0.0310   0.0362   0.0405   0.0529   0.0446   0.0370   0.0082   0.0338          |
|     ECN_20pct_2hr       0.0285   0.0320      0.0257     0.0283   0.0373   0.0277   0.0472   0.0445   0.0272   0.0275   0.0326   0.0073   0.0284         |
|   ECN_20pct_30min         0.0568   0.0277      0.0289     0.0381   0.0363   0.0305   0.0472   0.0420   0.0422   0.0421   0.0392   0.0085   0.0401          |
|   ECN_20pct_45min         0.0343   0.0264      0.0256     0.0348   0.0413   0.0286   0.0276   0.0337   0.0450   0.0461   0.0343   0.0072   0.0340          |
*=============================================================================================================================================
| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 20% AEP is the ensemble ECN_20pct_30min.                                                            |
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 8 (storm name : ECN_20pct_30min_8).                                                                   |


[OCR of page images]
Summary information:

Total No. of Ensembles:

No. of Storms per ensemble:
No. of AEP Bands:

Object Name:

Result type:

Results:

INNOVYZE ENSEMBLE STATISTICS UTILITY
(c) Innovyze 2020

63
10
7
Post Dev B to Lot 61
Max Flow

AEP: 1% - Max Flow (m43/s)

 

Ensemble name Storm1 Storm 2

Storm3 Storm4 Storm5 Storm6 Storm7 Storms

Storm 9 Storm 10

Average Std.Dev. Median

 

ECN_ipct_10min 0.0689 0.0742
ECN_ipct_15min 0.0859 0.0704
ECN_ipct_1_Shr 0.0533 0.0625
ECN_ipct_thr 0.0953 0.0757
ECN_ipct_20min 0.0775 0.1034
ECN_ipct_25min 0.0699 0.1034
ECN_ipct_2hr 0.0672 0.0524
ECN_ipct_30min 0.0786 0.0702
ECN_ipct_45min 0.1006 0.0936

0.0695 0.0727 0.0784 0.0717 0.0760 0.0675
0.0644 0.0614 0.0834 0.0789 0.0662 0.1028
0.0595 0.0501 0.0617 0.0581 0.0563 0.0686

0.0897
0.0855
0.0541

0.0577 0.0623 0.0449 0.0704 0.0509 0.0566 0.0612

0.0624 0.0559 0.0667 0.0705 0.0626 0.0693
0.0667 0.0732 0.0810 0.0647 0.0648 0.0767

0.0664
0.0643

0.0517 0.0606 0.0560 0.0545 0.0409 0.0427 0.0502

0.0965 0.0607 0.0653 0.0904 0.0662 0.0700
0.0644 0.0796 0.0700 0.0571 0.0599 0.0820

0.0773
0.0471

0.0657
0.0644
0.0593
0.0620
0.0771
0.0830
0.0715
0.0683
0.0698

0.0734
0.0763
0.0583
0.0637
0.0712
0.0748
0.0548
0.0744
0.0724

0.0066
0.0126
0.0050
0.0134
0.0124
0.0115
0.0092
0.0109
0.0158

0.0722
0.0747
0.0587
0.0616
0.0680
0.0716
0.0534
0.0701
0.0699

 

| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 1% AEP is the ensemble ECN_1pct_15min.
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 6 (storm name : ECN_ipct_15min_6).
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 8 (storm name : ECN_1pct_15min_8).

 

AEP: 10% - Max Flow (m43/s)

 

Ensemble name Storm1 Storm 2

Storm3 Storm4 Storm5 Storm6 Storm7 Storms

Storm 9 Storm 10

Average Std.Dev. Median

 

ECN_10pct_10min 0.0395 0.0385
ECN_10pct_15min 0.0449 0.0440
ECN_10pct_1_5hr 0.0530 0.0339
ECN_10pct_thr 0.0588 0.0365
ECN_10pct_20min 0.0369 0.0369
ECN_10pct_25min 0.0430 0.0675
ECN_10pct_2hr 0.0439 0.0291
ECN_10pct_30min 0.0331 0.0423
ECN_10pct_45min 0.0418 0.0359

0.0421 0.0457 0.0394 0.0368 0.0435 0.0387
0.0448 0.0451 0.0437 0.0423 0.0367 0.0405
0.0484 0.0334 0.0343 0.0395 0.0361 0.0284
0.0318 0.0462 0.0378 0.0432 0.0415 0.0426
0.0395 0.0537 0.0476 0.0453 0.0459 0.0630
0.0407 0.0354 0.0412 0.0631 0.0425 0.0417
0.0379 0.0551 0.0424 0.0307 0.0470 0.0302
0.0773 0.0409 0.0372 0.0466 0.0599 0.0428
0.0448 0.0413 0.0441 0.0409 0.0443 0.0313

0.0383
0.0565
0.0306
0.0325
0.0629
0.0433
0.0393
0.0494
0.0585

0.0473
0.0525
0.0436
0.0642
0.0429
0.0554
0.0430
0.0541
0.0591

0.0410
0.0451
0.0381
0.0435
0.0475
0.0474
0.0399
0.0484
0.0442

0.0033
0.0054
0.0075
0.0101
0.0091
0.0102
0.0078
0.0122
0.0083

0.0395
0.0444
0.0352
0.0421
0.0456
0.0427
0.0409
0.0447
0.0430

 

| CRITICAL DURATION

: The critical duration for the 10% AEP is the ensemble ECN_10pct_20min.

| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 7 (storm name : ECN_10pct_20min_7).
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 8 (storm name : ECN_10pct_20min_8).

 

AEP: 2% - Max Flow (m43/s)

 

Ensemble name Storm1 Storm 2

Storm3 Storm4 Storm5 Storm6 Storm7 Storms

Storm9 Storm

10 Average Std.Dev. Median

 

ECN_2pct_10min 0.0572__(0.0597
ECN_2pct_15min 0.0679 0.0641
ECN_2pct_1_Shr 0.0459 0.0553
ECN_2pct_thr 0.0848 0.0675
ECN_2pct_20min 0.0677 (0.0936
ECN_2pct_25min 0.0598 0.0934
ECN_2pct_2hr 0.0597 0.0457
ECN_2pct_ 30min 0.0711 0.0630
ECN_2pct_45min 0.0904 0.0834

0.0568 0.0656 0.0630 0.0646 0.0611 0.0608
0.0587 0.0558 0.0732 0.0705 0.0597 0.0886
0.0527 0.0444 0.0548 0.0517 0.0499 0.0564

0.0708
0.0764
0.0481

0.0491 0.0556 0.0400 0.0628 0.0453 0.0491 0.0546

0.0516 0.0497 0.0592 0.0629 0.0567 0.0604
0.0579 0.0663 0.0649 0.0588 0.0588 0.0696

0.0585
0.0578

0.0458 0.0538 0.0499 0.0485 0.0362 0.0380 0.0446

0.0874 0.0550 0.0565 0.0710 0.0601 0.0634
0.0578 0.0712 0.0626 0.0491 0.0538 0.0690

0.0700
0.0425

0.0592
0.0579
0.0527
0.0504
0.0700
0.0754
0.0628
0.0617
0.0615

0.0619
0.0673
0.0512
0.0559
0.0630
0.0663
0.0485
0.0659
0.0641

0.0040
0.0097
0.0038
0.0123
0.0118
0.0106
0.0081
0.0090
0.0141

0.0610
0.0660
0.0522
0.0525
0.0598
0.0624
0.0471
0.0632
0.0621

 

| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 2% AEP is the ensemble ECN_2pct_15min.
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 1 (storm name : ECN_2pct_15min_1).
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 8 (storm name : ECN_2pct_15min_8).

 

| CRITICAL DURATION

AEP: 20% - Max Flow (m43/s)

 

Ensemble name Storm1 Storm 2

Storm3 Storm4 Storm5 Storm6 Storm7 Storms

Storm 9 Storm 10

Average Std.Dev. Median

 

ECN_20pct_10min 0.0342 0.0360
ECN_20pct_15min 0.0359 0.0408
ECN_20pct_1_5hr 0.0306 0.0449
ECN_20pct_thr 0.0455 0.0249
ECN_20pct_20min 0.0357 0.0351
ECN_20pct_25min 0.0292 0.0314
ECN_20pct_2hr 0.0285 0.0320
ECN_20pct_30min 0.0568 0.0277
ECN_20pct_45min 0.0343 0.0264

0.0360 0.0366 0.0311 0.0297 0.0358 0.0323
0.0362 0.0334 0.0281 0.0292 0.0321 0.0344
0.0384 0.0257 0.0433 0.0207 0.0279 0.0340
0.0295 0.0325 0.0457 0.0418 0.0294 0.0276
0.0314 0.0347 0.0293 0.0342 0.0366 0.0314
0.0295 0.0283 0.0467 0.0310 0.0362 0.0405
0.0257 0.0283 0.0373 0.0277 0.0472 0.0445
0.0289 0.0381 0.0363 0.0305 0.0472 0.0420
0.0256 0.0348 0.0413 0.0286 0.0276 0.0337

0.0384
0.0387
0.0474
0.0448
0.0381
0.0529
0.0272
0.0422
0.0450

0.0338
0.0436
0.0363
0.0361
0.0538
0.0446
0.0275
0.0421
0.0461

0.0344
0.0352
0.0349
0.0358
0.0360
0.0370
0.0326
0.0392
0.0343

0.0026
0.0046
0.0084
0.0076
0.0064
0.0082
0.0073
0.0085
0.0072

0.0350
0.0352
0.0351
0.0343
0.0349
0.0338
0.0284
0.0401
0.0340

 

: The critical duration for the 20% AEP is the ensemble ECN_20pct_30min.

| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 8 (storm name : ECN_20pct_30min_8).
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