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RFI - ATTACHMENT A - SBSMP - Rev 2

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| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 1 (storm name : ECN_20pct_30min_1).                         |
*=============================================================================================================================================


                                              AEP: 5% - Max Flow (m^3/s)
*=============================================================================================================================================
|     Ensemble name Storm 1 Storm 2 Storm 3 Storm 4 Storm 5 Storm 6 Storm 7 Storm 8 Storm 9 Storm 10 Average Std. Dev.                              Median          |
*=============================================================================================================================================
|    ECN_5pct_10min         0.0450   0.0442     0.0480     0.0521     0.0509    0.0464    0.0564   0.0499   0.0445   0.0615   0.0499   0.0053   0.0489            |
|    ECN_5pct_15min         0.0510   0.0500     0.0558     0.0562     0.0582    0.0520    0.0448   0.0509   0.0728   0.0677   0.0559   0.0081   0.0539            |
|    ECN_5pct_1_5hr        0.0616    0.0395     0.0562    0.0448     0.0397     0.0458   0.0419   0.0329   0.0357   0.0507   0.0449   0.0086   0.0434            |
|     ECN_5pct_1hr        0.0682   0.0477     0.0403     0.0533     0.0479    0.0508    0.0498   0.0494   0.0400   0.0744   0.0522   0.0105   0.0496           |
|    ECN_5pct_20min         0.0466   0.0450     0.0502     0.0629     0.0598    0.0534    0.0529   0.0749   0.0784   0.0493   0.0573   0.0110   0.0532            |
|    ECN_5pct_25min         0.0505   0.0778     0.0463     0.0403     0.0469    0.0749    0.0493   0.0492   0.0562   0.0646   0.0556   0.0120   0.0499            |
|     ECN_5pct_2hr        0.0516   0.0343     0.0445     0.0647     0.0501    0.0379    0.0555   0.0355   0.0462   0.0559   0.0476   0.0094   0.0481           |
|    ECN_5pct_30min         0.0378   0.0547     0.0894     0.0468     0.0425    0.0574    0.0707   0.0563   0.0580   0.0618   0.0575   0.0140   0.0568            |
|    ECN_5pct_45min         0.0509   0.0467     0.0590     0.0476     0.0509    0.0471    0.0511   0.0360   0.0674   0.0683   0.0525   0.0094   0.0509            |
*=============================================================================================================================================
| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 5% AEP is the ensemble ECN_5pct_30min.                                                                 |
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 6 (storm name : ECN_5pct_30min_6).                                                                      |
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 3 (storm name : ECN_5pct_30min_3).                                                     |
*=============================================================================================================================================


                                      AEP: 50% - Max Flow (m^3/s)
*=============================================================================================================================================
|    Ensemble name Storm 1 Storm 2 Storm 3 Storm 4 Storm 5 Storm 6 Storm 7 Storm 8 Storm 9 Storm 10 Average Std. Dev.                  Median      |
*=============================================================================================================================================
|   ECN_50pct_10min   0.0253   0.0266    0.0266   0.0271   0.0229   0.0219   0.0264   0.0240   0.0283   0.0249   0.0254   0.0019   0.0259        |
|   ECN_50pct_15min   0.0265   0.0301    0.0268   0.0246   0.0204   0.0196   0.0183   0.0197   0.0237   0.0271   0.0237   0.0038   0.0241        |
|   ECN_50pct_1_5hr  0.0215   0.0250    0.0274   0.0155    0.0309  0.0143   0.0199   0.0170   0.0328   0.0255   0.0230   0.0061   0.0233        |
|    ECN_50pct_1hr  0.0234   0.0157    0.0165   0.0203   0.0248   0.0238   0.0194   0.0195   0.0319   0.0231   0.0218   0.0045   0.0217       |
|   ECN_50pct_20min   0.0263   0.0259    0.0232   0.0189   0.0190   0.0236   0.0224   0.0192   0.0237   0.0280   0.0230   0.0030   0.0234        |
|   ECN_50pct_25min   0.0189   0.0191    0.0210   0.0201   0.0276   0.0211   0.0193   0.0229   0.0297   0.0245   0.0224   0.0036   0.0210        |
|    ECN_50pct_2hr  0.0199   0.0155    0.0180   0.0164   0.0243   0.0194   0.0260   0.0315   0.0188   0.0194   0.0209   0.0047   0.0194       |
|   ECN_50pct_30min   0.0331   0.0183    0.0211   0.0212   0.0190   0.0206   0.0258   0.0226   0.0219   0.0222   0.0226   0.0040   0.0215        |
|   ECN_50pct_45min   0.0250   0.0175    0.0183   0.0190   0.0236   0.0167   0.0186   0.0240   0.0308   0.0293   0.0223   0.0048   0.0213        |


[OCR of page images]
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 1 (storm name : ECN_20pct_30min_1).

 

AEP: 5% - Max Flow (m43/s)

 

Ensemble name

Storm1 Storm2 Storm3

Storm4 Storm5 Storm6

Storm7 Storm 8

Storm 9 Storm 10

Average Std.Dev. Median

 

ECN_5pct_10min
ECN_5pct_15min
ECN_5pct_1_5hr
ECN_5pct_thr
ECN_5pct_20min
ECN_5pct_25min
ECN_5pct_2hr
ECN_5pct_30min
ECN_5pct_45min

0.0450 0.0442 0.0480
0.0510 0.0500 0.0558
0.0616 0.0395 0.0562
0.0682 0.0477 0.0403
0.0466 0.0450 0.0502
0.0505 0.0778 0.0463
0.0516 0.0343 0.0445
0.0378 0.0547 0.0894
0.0509 0.0467 0.0590

0.0521
0.0562
0.0448
0.0533
0.0629
0.0403
0.0647
0.0468
0.0476

0.0509
0.0582
0.0397
0.0479
0.0598
0.0469
0.0501
0.0425
0.0509

0.0464
0.0520
0.0458
0.0508
0.0534
0.0749
0.0379
0.0574
0.0471

0.0564
0.0448
0.0419
0.0498
0.0529
0.0493
0.0555
0.0707
0.0511

0.0499
0.0509
0.0329
0.0494
0.0749
0.0492
0.0355
0.0563
0.0360

0.0445
0.0728
0.0357
0.0400
0.0784
0.0562
0.0462
0.0580
0.0674

0.0615
0.0677
0.0507
0.0744
0.0493
0.0646
0.0559
0.0618
0.0683

0.0499
0.0559
0.0449
0.0522
0.0573
0.0556
0.0476
0.0575
0.0525

0.0053
0.0081
0.0086
0.0105
0.0110
0.0120
0.0094
0.0140
0.0094

0.0489
0.0539
0.0434
0.0496
0.0532
0.0499
0.0481
0.0568
0.0509

 

| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 5% AEP is the ensemble ECN_5pct_30min.
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 6 (storm name : ECN_5pct_30min_6).
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 3 (storm name : ECN_5pct_30min_3).

 

AEP: 50% - Max Flow (m43/s)

 

Ensemble name

Storm1 Storm2 Storm3

Storm4 Storm5 Storm6

Storm7 Storm 8

Storm 9 Storm 10

Average Std.Dev. Median

 

ECN_50pct_10min
ECN_50pct_15min
ECN_S0pct_1_Shr
ECN_50pct_thr
ECN_50pct_20min
ECN_50pct_25min
ECN_50pct_2hr
ECN_50pct_30min
ECN_50pct_45min

0.0253 0.0266 0.0266
0.0265 0.0301 0.0268
0.0215 0.0250 0.0274
0.0234 0.0157 0.0165
0.0263 0.0259 0.0232
0.0189 0.0191 0.0210
0.0199 0.0155 0.0180
0.0331 0.0183 0.0211
0.0250 0.0175 0.0183

0.0271
0.0246
0.0155
0.0203
0.0189
0.0201
0.0164
0.0212
0.0190

0.0229
0.0204
0.0309
0.0248
0.0190
0.0276
0.0243
0.0190
0.0236

0.0219
0.0196
0.0143
0.0238
0.0236
0.0211
0.0194
0.0206
0.0167

0.0264
0.0183
0.0199
0.0194
0.0224
0.0193
0.0260
0.0258
0.0186

0.0240
0.0197
0.0170
0.0195
0.0192
0.0229
0.0315
0.0226
0.0240

0.0283
0.0237
0.0328
0.0319
0.0237
0.0297
0.0188
0.0219
0.0308

0.0249
0.0271
0.0255
0.0231
0.0280
0.0245
0.0194
0.0222
0.0293

0.0254
0.0237
0.0230
0.0218
0.0230
0.0224
0.0209
0.0226
0.0223

0.0019
0.0038
0.0061
0.0045
0.0030
0.0036
0.0047
0.0040
0.0048

0.0259
0.0241
0.0233
0.0217
0.0234
0.0210
0.0194
0.0215
0.0213
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