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RFI - ATTACHMENT A - SBSMP - Rev 2

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                                                   INNOVYZE ENSEMBLE STATISTICS UTILITY
                                                           (c) Innovyze 2020

Summary information:

           Total No. of Ensembles:              63
           No. of Storms per ensemble:          10
           No. of AEP Bands:                     7
           Object Name:                  Post Dev C to Eumundi Noosa Rd
           Result type:                  Max Flow


Results:


                                              AEP: 1% - Max Flow (m^3/s)
*=============================================================================================================================================
|     Ensemble name Storm 1 Storm 2 Storm 3 Storm 4 Storm 5 Storm 6 Storm 7 Storm 8 Storm 9 Storm 10 Average Std. Dev.                              Median          |
*=============================================================================================================================================
|    ECN_1pct_10min         0.0776   0.0674     0.0771     0.0627     0.0642    0.0627    0.0660   0.0725   0.0770   0.0803   0.0707   0.0065   0.0699            |
|    ECN_1pct_15min         0.0741   0.0698     0.0796     0.0750     0.0543    0.0559    0.0679   0.0768   0.0612   0.0693   0.0684   0.0083   0.0695            |
|    ECN_1pct_1_5hr        0.0391    0.0451     0.0382    0.0388     0.0451    0.0370    0.0363   0.0519   0.0360   0.0384   0.0406   0.0049   0.0386            |
|     ECN_1pct_1hr        0.0664   0.0518     0.0413     0.0480     0.0360    0.0449    0.0448   0.0460   0.0395   0.0450   0.0464   0.0079   0.0450           |
|    ECN_1pct_20min         0.0711   0.0730     0.0703     0.0676     0.0616    0.0575    0.0540   0.0522   0.0567   0.0521   0.0616   0.0078   0.0595            |
|    ECN_1pct_25min         0.0667   0.0729     0.0662     0.0481     0.0648    0.0483    0.0550   0.0502   0.0485   0.0541   0.0575   0.0088   0.0545            |
|     ECN_1pct_2hr        0.0441   0.0355     0.0371     0.0412     0.0367    0.0372    0.0273   0.0284   0.0345   0.0537   0.0376   0.0072   0.0369           |
|    ECN_1pct_30min         0.0697   0.0633     0.0649     0.0455     0.0489    0.0774    0.0423   0.0467   0.0533   0.0460   0.0558   0.0115   0.0511            |
|    ECN_1pct_45min         0.0699   0.0665     0.0464     0.0578     0.0511    0.0409    0.0462   0.0597   0.0377   0.0450   0.0521   0.0103   0.0488            |
*=============================================================================================================================================
| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 1% AEP is the ensemble ECN_1pct_10min.                                                                 |
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 8 (storm name : ECN_1pct_10min_8).                                                                      |
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 10 (storm name : ECN_1pct_10min_10).                                                   |
*=============================================================================================================================================


                                              AEP: 10% - Max Flow (m^3/s)
*=============================================================================================================================================
|     Ensemble name Storm 1 Storm 2 Storm 3 Storm 4 Storm 5 Storm 6 Storm 7 Storm 8 Storm 9 Storm 10 Average Std. Dev.                              Median          |
*=============================================================================================================================================
|   ECN_10pct_10min         0.0496    0.0484     0.0528     0.0572    0.0443     0.0464   0.0496   0.0436   0.0482   0.0547   0.0495   0.0041   0.0490            |
|   ECN_10pct_15min         0.0561    0.0551     0.0554     0.0444    0.0409     0.0476   0.0447   0.0416   0.0519   0.0479   0.0486   0.0055   0.0477            |
|   ECN_10pct_1_5hr         0.0356   0.0261      0.0329    0.0413    0.0304     0.0285   0.0266   0.0357   0.0212   0.0321   0.0310   0.0055   0.0312            |
|     ECN_10pct_1hr       0.0433    0.0365     0.0397     0.0577    0.0281     0.0354   0.0286   0.0279   0.0276   0.0481   0.0373   0.0096   0.0359           |
|   ECN_10pct_20min         0.0411    0.0462     0.0342     0.0365    0.0384     0.0388   0.0358   0.0441   0.0480   0.0452   0.0408   0.0046   0.0399            |
|   ECN_10pct_25min         0.0342    0.0466     0.0511     0.0436    0.0517     0.0446   0.0434   0.0356   0.0461   0.0465   0.0443   0.0054   0.0454            |
|     ECN_10pct_2hr       0.0300    0.0202     0.0262     0.0383    0.0319     0.0387   0.0411   0.0234   0.0267   0.0368   0.0313   0.0068   0.0309           |
|   ECN_10pct_30min         0.0407    0.0436     0.0668     0.0356    0.0330     0.0342   0.0409   0.0360   0.0395   0.0350   0.0405   0.0093   0.0377            |
|   ECN_10pct_45min         0.0522    0.0434     0.0423     0.0273    0.0297     0.0328   0.0313   0.0275   0.0379   0.0435   0.0368   0.0079   0.0354            |
*=============================================================================================================================================
| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 10% AEP is the ensemble ECN_10pct_10min.                                                               |
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 1 (storm name : ECN_10pct_10min_1).                                                                      |
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 4 (storm name : ECN_10pct_10min_4).                                                    |
*=============================================================================================================================================


                                              AEP: 2% - Max Flow (m^3/s)
*=============================================================================================================================================
|     Ensemble name Storm 1 Storm 2 Storm 3 Storm 4 Storm 5 Storm 6 Storm 7 Storm 8 Storm 9 Storm 10 Average Std. Dev.                              Median          |
*=============================================================================================================================================
|    ECN_2pct_10min         0.0709   0.0616     0.0705     0.0571     0.0587    0.0573    0.0603   0.0662   0.0703   0.0733   0.0646   0.0060   0.0639            |
|    ECN_2pct_15min         0.0677   0.0637     0.0728     0.0686     0.0495    0.0511    0.0621   0.0701   0.0560   0.0633   0.0625   0.0076   0.0635            |
|    ECN_2pct_1_5hr        0.0348    0.0402     0.0340    0.0346     0.0403    0.0330    0.0323   0.0463   0.0320   0.0342   0.0362   0.0044   0.0344            |
|     ECN_2pct_1hr        0.0594   0.0463     0.0369     0.0429     0.0322    0.0401    0.0401   0.0411   0.0353   0.0403   0.0415   0.0071   0.0402           |
|    ECN_2pct_20min         0.0649   0.0665     0.0642     0.0617     0.0562    0.0525    0.0493   0.0476   0.0517   0.0474   0.0562   0.0071   0.0543            |
|    ECN_2pct_25min         0.0608   0.0664     0.0603     0.0438     0.0590    0.0440    0.0501   0.0456   0.0442   0.0492   0.0524   0.0080   0.0497            |
|     ECN_2pct_2hr        0.0394   0.0316     0.0331     0.0368     0.0328    0.0332    0.0243   0.0253   0.0308   0.0480   0.0335   0.0065   0.0329           |
|    ECN_2pct_30min         0.0634   0.0575     0.0590     0.0413     0.0443    0.0704    0.0384   0.0424   0.0484   0.0418   0.0507   0.0105   0.0464            |
|    ECN_2pct_45min         0.0632   0.0601     0.0419     0.0523     0.0462    0.0369    0.0417   0.0540   0.0341   0.0406   0.0471   0.0093   0.0440            |
*=============================================================================================================================================
| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 2% AEP is the ensemble ECN_2pct_10min.                                                                 |
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 8 (storm name : ECN_2pct_10min_8).                                                                      |
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 10 (storm name : ECN_2pct_10min_10).                                                   |
*=============================================================================================================================================


                                              AEP: 20% - Max Flow (m^3/s)
*=============================================================================================================================================
|     Ensemble name Storm 1 Storm 2 Storm 3 Storm 4 Storm 5 Storm 6 Storm 7 Storm 8 Storm 9 Storm 10 Average Std. Dev.                           Median        |
*=============================================================================================================================================
|   ECN_20pct_10min         0.0433   0.0455      0.0454     0.0457   0.0395   0.0377   0.0452   0.0402   0.0483   0.0428   0.0434   0.0031   0.0442          |
|   ECN_20pct_15min         0.0453   0.0512      0.0457     0.0422   0.0353   0.0331   0.0317   0.0342   0.0400   0.0458   0.0405   0.0063   0.0411          |
|   ECN_20pct_1_5hr        0.0232    0.0315     0.0316     0.0178   0.0324   0.0263   0.0198   0.0239   0.0330   0.0248   0.0264   0.0052   0.0255          |
|     ECN_20pct_1hr       0.0385   0.0221      0.0287     0.0306   0.0345   0.0304   0.0263   0.0230   0.0310   0.0245   0.0290   0.0049   0.0296         |
|   ECN_20pct_20min         0.0450   0.0444      0.0399     0.0322   0.0320   0.0406   0.0379   0.0324   0.0401   0.0456   0.0390   0.0050   0.0400          |
|   ECN_20pct_25min         0.0320   0.0325      0.0355     0.0340   0.0393   0.0361   0.0302   0.0279   0.0380   0.0389   0.0344   0.0036   0.0348          |
|     ECN_20pct_2hr       0.0206   0.0280      0.0234     0.0184   0.0292   0.0250   0.0330   0.0557   0.0219   0.0192   0.0274   0.0104   0.0242         |
|   ECN_20pct_30min         0.0383   0.0311      0.0369     0.0369   0.0268   0.0351   0.0398   0.0387   0.0290   0.0340   0.0347   0.0042   0.0360          |
|   ECN_20pct_45min         0.0431   0.0301      0.0278     0.0328   0.0412   0.0224   0.0249   0.0233   0.0340   0.0314   0.0311   0.0067   0.0307          |
*=============================================================================================================================================
| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 20% AEP is the ensemble ECN_20pct_10min.                                                            |
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 7 (storm name : ECN_20pct_10min_7).                                                                   |


[OCR of page images]
Summary information:

Total No. of Ensembles:

No. of Storms per ensemble:
No. of AEP Bands:

Object Name:

Result type:

Results:

INNOVYZE ENSEMBLE STATISTICS UTILITY
(c) Innovyze 2020

63
10
7
Post Dev C to Eumundi Noosa Rd
Max Flow

AEP: 1% - Max Flow (m43/s)

 

Ensemble name Storm1 Storm 2

Storm3 Storm4 Storm5 Storm6 Storm7 Storms

Storm 9 Storm 10

Average Std.Dev. Median

 

ECN_ipct_10min 0.0776 0.0674
ECN_ipct_15min 0.0741 0.0698
ECN_ipct_1_Shr 0.0391 0.0451
ECN_ipct_thr 0.0664 0.0518
ECN_ipct_20min 0.0711 0.0730
ECN_ipct_25min 0.0667 0.0729
ECN_ipct_2hr 0.0441 0.0355
ECN_ipct_30min 0.0697 0.0633
ECN_ipct_45min 0.0699 0.0665

0.0771 0.0627 0.0642 0.0627 0.0660 0.0725
0.0796 0.0750 0.0543 0.0559 0.0679 0.0768
0.0382 0.0388 0.0451 0.0370 0.0363 0.0519

0.0770
0.0612
0.0360

0.0413 0.0480 0.0360 0.0449 0.0448 0.0460 0.0395

0.0703 0.0676 0.0616 0.0575 0.0540 0.0522
0.0662 0.0481 0.0648 0.0483 0.0550 0.0502

0.0567
0.0485

0.0371 0.0412 0.0367 0.0372 0.0273 0.0284 0.0345

0.0649 0.0455 0.0489 0.0774 0.0423 0.0467
0.0464 0.0578 0.0511 0.0409 0.0462 0.0597

0.0533
0.0377

0.0803
0.0693
0.0384
0.0450
0.0521
0.0541
0.0537
0.0460
0.0450

0.0707
0.0684
0.0406
0.0464
0.0616
0.0575
0.0376
0.0558
0.0521

0.0065
0.0083
0.0049
0.0079
0.0078
0.0088
0.0072
0.0115
0.0103

0.0699
0.0695
0.0386
0.0450
0.0595
0.0545
0.0369
0.0511
0.0488

 

| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 1% AEP is the ensemble ECN_1pct_10min.
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 8 (storm name : ECN_1ipct_10min_8).
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 10 (storm name : ECN_1pct_10min_10).

 

AEP: 10% - Max Flow (m43/s)

 

Ensemble name Storm1 Storm 2

Storm3 Storm4 Storm5 Storm6 Storm7 Storms

Storm 9 Storm 10

Average Std.Dev. Median

 

ECN_10pct_10min 0.0496 0.0484
ECN_10pct_15min 0.0561 0.0551
ECN_10pct_1_5hr 0.0356 0.0261
ECN_10pct_thr 0.0433 0.0365
ECN_10pct_20min 0.0411 0.0462
ECN_10pct_25min 0.0342 0.0466
ECN_10pct_2hr 0.0300 0.0202
ECN_10pct_30min 0.0407 0.0436
ECN_10pct_45min 0.0522 0.0434

0.0528 0.0572 0.0443 0.0464 0.0496 0.0436
0.0554 0.0444 0.0409 0.0476 0.0447 0.0416
0.0329 0.0413 0.0304 0.0285 0.0266 0.0357
0.0397 0.0577 0.0281 0.0354 0.0286 0.0279
0.0342 0.0365 0.0384 0.0388 0.0358 0.0441
0.0511 0.0436 0.0517 0.0446 0.0434 0.0356
0.0262 0.0383 0.0319 0.0387 0.0411 0.0234
0.0668 0.0356 0.0330 0.0342 0.0409 0.0360
0.0423 0.0273 0.0297 0.0328 0.0313 0.0275

0.0482
0.0519
0.0212
0.0276
0.0480
0.0461
0.0267
0.0395
0.0379

0.0547
0.0479
0.0321
0.0481
0.0452
0.0465
0.0368
0.0350
0.0435

0.0495
0.0486
0.0310
0.0373
0.0408
0.0443
0.0313
0.0405
0.0368

0.0041
0.0055
0.0055
0.0096
0.0046
0.0054
0.0068
0.0093
0.0079

0.0490
0.0477
0.0312
0.0359
0.0399
0.0454
0.0309
0.0377
0.0354

 

| CRITICAL DURATION

: The critical duration for the 10% AEP is the ensemble ECN_10pct_10min.

| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 1 (storm name : ECN_10pct_10min_1).
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 4 (storm name : ECN_10pct_10min_4).

 

AEP: 2% - Max Flow (m43/s)

 

Ensemble name Storm1 Storm 2

Storm3 Storm4 Storm5 Storm6 Storm7 Storms

Storm 9 Storm 10

Average Std.Dev. Median

 

ECN_2pct_10min 0.0709 0.0616
ECN_2pct_15min 0.0677 (0.0637
ECN_2pct_1_Shr 0.0348 0.0402
ECN_2pct_thr 0.0594 0.0463
ECN_2pct_20min 0.0649 0.0665
ECN_2pct_25min 0.0608 0.0664
ECN_2pct_2hr 0.0394 0.0316
ECN_2pct_ 30min 0.0634 0.0575
ECN_2pct_45min 0.0632 0.0601

0.0705 0.0571 0.0587 0.0573 0.0603 0.0662
0.0728 0.0686 0.0495 0.0511 0.0621 0.0701
0.0340 0.0346 0.0403 0.0330 0.0323 0.0463

0.0703
0.0560
0.0320

0.0369 0.0429 0.0322 0.0401 0.0401 0.0411 0.0353

0.0642 0.0617 0.0562 0.0525 0.0493 0.0476
0.0603 0.0438 0.0590 0.0440 0.0501 0.0456

0.0517
0.0442

0.0331 0.0368 0.0328 0.0332 0.0243 0.0253 0.0308

0.0590 0.0413 0.0443 0.0704 0.0384 0.0424
0.0419 0.0523 0.0462 0.0369 0.0417 0.0540

0.0484
0.0341

0.0733
0.0633
0.0342
0.0403
0.0474
0.0492
0.0480
0.0418
0.0406

0.0646
0.0625
0.0362
0.0415
0.0562
0.0524
0.0335
0.0507
0.0471

0.0060
0.0076
0.0044
0.0071
0.0071
0.0080
0.0065
0.0105
0.0093

0.0639
0.0635
0.0344
0.0402
0.0543
0.0497
0.0329
0.0464
0.0440

 

| CRITICAL DURATION : The critical duration for the 2% AEP is the ensemble ECN_2pct_10min.
| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 8 (storm name : ECN_2pct_10min_8).
| The pattern with the greatest <Max Flow> for this ensemble is storm 10 (storm name : ECN_2pct_10min_10).

| CRITICAL DURATION

 

AEP: 20% - Max Flow (m43/s)

 

Ensemble name Storm1 Storm 2

Storm3 Storm4 Storm5 Storm6 Storm7 Storms

Storm 9 Storm 10

Average Std.Dev. Median

 

ECN_20pct_10min 0.0433 0.0455
ECN_20pct_15min 0.0453 0.0512
ECN_20pct_1_5hr 0.0232 0.0315
ECN_20pct_thr 0.0385 0.0221
ECN_20pct_20min 0.0450 0.0444
ECN_20pct_25min 0.0320 0.0325
ECN_20pct_2hr 0.0206 0.0280
ECN_20pct_30min 0.0383 0.0311
ECN_20pct_45min 0.0431 0.0301

0.0454 0.0457 0.0395 0.0377 0.0452 0.0402
0.0457 0.0422 0.0353 0.0331 0.0317 0.0342
0.0316 0.0178 0.0324 0.0263 0.0198 0.0239
0.0287 0.0306 0.0345 0.0304 0.0263 0.0230
0.0399 0.0322 0.0320 0.0406 0.0379 0.0324
0.0355 0.0340 0.0393 0.0361 0.0302 0.0279
0.0234 0.0184 0.0292 0.0250 0.0330 0.0557
0.0369 0.0369 0.0268 0.0351 0.0398 0.0387
0.0278 0.0328 0.0412 0.0224 0.0249 0.0233

0.0483
0.0400
0.0330
0.0310
0.0401
0.0380
0.0219
0.0290
0.0340

0.0428
0.0458
0.0248
0.0245
0.0456
0.0389
0.0192
0.0340
0.0314

0.0434
0.0405
0.0264
0.0290
0.0390
0.0344
0.0274
0.0347
0.0311

0.0031
0.0063
0.0052
0.0049
0.0050
0.0036
0.0104
0.0042
0.0067

0.0442
0.0411
0.0255
0.0296
0.0400
0.0348
0.0242
0.0360
0.0307

 

: The critical duration for the 20% AEP is the ensemble ECN_20pct_10min.

| The median pattern for this ensemble is storm 7 (storm name : ECN_20pct_10min_7).
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