Attachment F - Carparking Evaluation -Noosa Carparking Study - McGagney report

                                                                                                                        Noosa Council
                                                                                                   Noosa Car Parking Study 2017 - 2032
                                                                                                                          Final Report



Appendix B: Future Growth in Parking Demand
Future parking performance for the study areas in Noosa was determined based on assumed growth in parking
demand. This growth in parking demand was determined based on inputs of:
      Residential population growth;
      Growth in visitor demand (where relevant); and
      Expected future development, (based on development capacity).


Residential population growth was taken as a lower bound for projected growth in parking demand, while
growth in visitor demand was qualitatively considered when evaluating likely growth in development relative to
development capacity. Finally, assumptions were made around the proportion of growth in development
experienced as increased on-street (public) parking demand, based on site constraints. Carparking demands and
associated parking requirements have been projected forwards to 2031, in line with Noosa’s current
development scheme.


B.1: Residential Population Growth
Future residential growth in the Noosa region was obtained from ABS population projections. The resulting
population growth assumptions for key centres in the region is shown in Table B-1:

Table B-1: Residential Population Growth
                                                                       Residential Population Projections
         Centre          SA2 Category
                                             2011       2016      20171       2021        2026        2031     % Change 2017 - 2031

    Cooran             Noosa Hinterland      21,200     22,300     22,500     23,300      24,700      25,600           14%
    Cooroy             Noosa Hinterland      21,200     22,300     22,500     23,300      24,700      25,600           14%
    Noosa Junction     Noosa Heads            4,200      4,400      4,400      4,700       5,000       5,400           23%
    Hastings Street    Noosa Heads            4,200      4,400      4,400      4,700       5,000       5,400           23%
    Noosaville         Noosaville             8,100      9,000      9,000      9,200       9,400       9,700            7%
    Peregian Beach     Peregian               8,000      9,700      9,900     10,800      11,800      12,100           23%
    Pomona             Noosa Hinterland      21,200     22,300     22,500     23,300      24,700      25,600           14%
    Sunshine Beach     Sunshine Beach         6,700      6,800      6,800      6,800       7,000       7,100            4%
    Tewantin           Tewantin              10,400     10,500     10,600     10,700      11,000      11,300            7%
                      Noosa Population   2
                                                        54,400     55,800     57,600      59,400      54,400           16%
*

As can be seen from Table B-1, relatively large residential population growth, at 23% between 2017 and 2031,
is expected to occur in the central Noosa Heads area, encompassing Noosa Junction, Hastings Street and
Noosaville. Minimal population growth is expected to arise in Sunshine Beach and Tewantin, at 4% and 7%
between 2017 and 2031, respectively. Noosa Hinterland region is expected to experience 14% population
growth between 2017 and 2031.




1
    2017 population projections have been interpolated from 2016 and 2021 ABS projected population
2
    2017-2031 Noosa population projections interpolated from 2016 and 2041 ShapingSEQ,2017 population projections.